|

AUD/USD: To trade sideways short term – OCBC

The Australian Dollar (AUD) saw a mild rebound amid broad USD softness after jobs data disappointed while AU GDP data held up, OCBC FX strategists Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.

Bullish momentum on daily chart fades

“This morning, RBA Governor Bullock reiterated ‘that it is premature to be thinking about rate cuts’. She explained that RBA board is seeking to balance reducing inflation in a reasonable timeframe and maintaining as many of Australia’s recent labour market gains as possible, with unemployment at a low 4.2%.”

“She also spoke about the drawbacks of prolonged periods of high inflation and how the current episode is disproportionately hurting lower income earners and young Australians.”

“Pair was last at 0.6725 levels. Bullish momentum on daily chart faded while decline in RSI moderated. Recent pullback have found an interim support at 0.6690/0.6700 (21 DMA, recent low). Decisive break may open room for further downside towards 0.6640. Resistance at 0.6730, 0.6790.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD turns negative; slips back to 1.3530

GBP/USD comes under pressure and weakens toward the 1.3530 zone on Tuesday. Cable thus leaves behind two daily upticks in a row and retreats further from Monday’s multi-week tops past 1.3570 following humble gains in the Greenback and disheartening UK jobs data.

EUR/USD comes under pressure near 1.1570

EUR/USD could not sustain the earlier bullish attempt toward the proximity of 1.1600 the figure, coming under fresh downside pressure and revisiting the 1.1580-1.1570 band as the NA session draws to a close on Tuesday. The better tone in the US Dollar in the latter part of the day weighs on the pair amid steady volatility in the Middle East. Looking forward, the release of the FOMC Minutes takes centre stage on Wednesday.

Gold consolidates below $4,350; looks to FOMC Minutes for fresh impetus

Gold holds steady below $4,350, following the previous day's heavy losses, as traders await the release of FOMC Minutes for cues about the Fed's future policy path. In the meantime, the recent surge in US bond yields, bolstered by inflation fears stemming from rising oil prices, supports the US Dollar amid the Middle East crisis and should cap the non-yielding bullion.

Ethereum: Investors remain on the sidelines

Ethereum continued its consolidation pattern over the past week with several key on-chain and derivatives metrics indicating traders remain hesitant to return to the market. The holdings across several wallet cohorts remained largely unchanged over the past week. Wallets holding 10K-100K ETH, also classified as whales, saw modest inflows of only 10K ETH.

Fiscal concerns and doubts on Fed independence send US yields to long-term highs

US Treasury yields keep rising across the curve this week, with the yield for the 30-year Treasury bond reaching its highest level since 2007, during the global financial crisis, at 5.33% so far on Monday. A mix of concerns about the ballooning US fiscal deficit and growing doubts about the Federal Reserve’s Independence are increasing pressure on US Government Bonds.

Why is Crude Oil priced for a reopening the ships haven't made?
Fourteen vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday. Before the war, the count ran near 120 a day. In the sessions since the waterway was publicly declared open, Brent has drifted back to $87 and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to $81, both a little lower again on Wednesday, with daily momentum on each unwound from the top of its range in late July to the low twenties now.