|

AUD/USD Price Forecast: Tests descending channel bottom around 0.6950

  • AUD/USD tests immediate support at the lower boundary of the descending channel around 0.6950.
  • The 14-day Relative Strength Index near 32 signals emerging oversold conditions.
  • The pair may find the initial barrier at the nine-day EMA of 0.7018.

AUD/USD continues its losing streak for the sixth consecutive day, trading around 0.6960 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. The technical analysis of the daily chart shows the pair remaining within the descending channel pattern, suggesting a prevailing bearish bias.

However, the AUD/USD pair is keeping a bearish near-term bias as spot holds below both the nine-day and 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs). The configuration of short- and medium-term EMAs above spot suggests rallies remain corrective, while the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) near 32 hints at emerging oversold conditions that could slow, but not yet reverse, the downside.

The AUD/USD pair tests the lower boundary of the descending channel around 0.6950. A sustained break below the channel would put downward pressure on the pair to navigate the region around the five-month low of the 0.6833 region, recorded on March 30.

On the upside, the immediate barrier lies at the nine-day EMA of 0.7018. Further advance would support the AUD/USD pair to test the 50-day EMA of 0.7086, followed by the upper boundary of the descending channel around 0.7130. Further advances would expose the 0.7277, the highest level seen since June 2022, recorded on May 6.

Chart Analysis AUD/USD

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)

Australian Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Australian Dollar (AUD) against listed major currencies today. Australian Dollar was the weakest against the US Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.03%0.12%0.08%0.18%0.71%0.46%0.03%
EUR-0.03%0.08%0.02%0.11%0.65%0.42%-0.01%
GBP-0.12%-0.08%-0.02%0.05%0.61%0.34%-0.08%
JPY-0.08%-0.02%0.02%0.09%0.62%0.38%-0.07%
CAD-0.18%-0.11%-0.05%-0.09%0.54%0.30%-0.15%
AUD-0.71%-0.65%-0.61%-0.62%-0.54%-0.22%-0.66%
NZD-0.46%-0.42%-0.34%-0.38%-0.30%0.22%-0.45%
CHF-0.03%0.00%0.08%0.07%0.15%0.66%0.45%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Australian Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent AUD (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD stays weak below 1.3250 on UK politics,  PMIs eyed

GBP/USD loses ground below 1.3250 in the European session on Tuesday. Political uncertainty in the United Kingdom continues to weigh on the British Pound, while the US Dollar capitalizes on the risk-off mood and hawkish Fed bets. The UK and US S&P Global preliminary PMI data are next of note for the major.


EUR/USD stays below 1.1450 after weak German PMI data

EUR/USD struggles to stage a rebound and trades below 1.1450 in the European session on Tuesday, after the data from Germany showed that the Composite PMI declined to 48 in June from 48.8 May. Meanwhile, the US Dollar holds the upper hand against the Euro amid risk-off sentiment and a hawkish Federal Reserve stance, leaving the pair on the defensive. Traders now await PMI data for the Eurozone, and the United States.

Gold drops to nearly two-week low, seems vulnerable amid Fed hike bets, bullish USD

Gold adds to its Asian session losses, and drops to a nearly two-week low, around the $4,115 region in the last hour amid a bullish US Dollar. Despite positive signals from US-Iran peace talks, widespread skepticism remains toward a final deal. This helps the USD in preserving its recent strong gains to the highest level since May 2025.

Bears cap Solana below $75 as ETF, retail demand wanes

Solana edges below $72 risking a third consecutive day of losses that could erase the 5% gains from Friday. SOL-focused Exchange Traded Funds reflect muted demand from institutional investors following a minor recovery last week. Meanwhile, retail trading activity hints at a bearish positional buildup.

Big day of PMIs ahead

In the euro area, June flash PMIs are released. Most respondents will likely have answered after the US-Iran deal, yet the impact of lower oil prices is unlikely to already show up in activity data. We expect manufacturing to edge down to 50.9 (May: 51.6), while we expect services to see a modest improvement to 48.8 (May: 47.7).

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.