|

AUD/USD Price Forecast: Hovers around 0.7150 near nine-day EMA

  • AUD/USD stays near the nine-day EMA barrier at 0.7164.
  • The 14-day Relative Strength Index hovers near the 50, signaling neutral momentum.
  • The initial support lies at the 50-day EMA of 0.7120.

AUD/USD remains weaker for the second successive day, trading around 0.7160 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates that the pair moves within the rectangle pattern, suggesting a consolidation as neither the bulls nor the bears have enough momentum to take control of the market.

The AUD/USD pair holds above the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), hinting at a mildly constructive near-term tone, but it is trading just under the nine-day EMA, which acts as immediate dynamic resistance.

The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovers close to the 50 line, signalling neutral momentum and suggesting that a clearer directional cue may emerge only on a break away from this tight moving-average band.

The AUD/USD pair is currently testing an immediate barrier at its nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of 0.7164. A successful breakout above this short-term average is expected to boost upward price momentum. This potential strength could support the pair as it climbs toward the upper boundary of its current rectangle pattern around 0.7270, with the next major target being 0.7277, the highest level seen since June 2022, recorded on May 6.

On the downside, the AUD/USD pair may target the 50-day EMA at 0.7120. A break below this support level would likely see the pair test the lower boundary of the rectangle formation near 0.7070. If selling pressure intensifies and forces a breakout below this consolidation zone, it could drag the pair down toward the 0.6833 region, marking a return to the four-month low, recorded on March 30.

Chart Analysis AUD/USD

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)

Australian Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Australian Dollar (AUD) against listed major currencies today. Australian Dollar was the weakest against the New Zealand Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.10%-0.06%0.00%-0.02%0.13%-0.72%-0.10%
EUR0.10%0.03%0.07%0.05%0.19%-0.62%-0.00%
GBP0.06%-0.03%0.02%0.03%0.17%-0.65%-0.02%
JPY0.00%-0.07%-0.02%-0.02%0.11%-0.71%-0.08%
CAD0.02%-0.05%-0.03%0.02%0.14%-0.67%-0.05%
AUD-0.13%-0.19%-0.17%-0.11%-0.14%-0.80%-0.17%
NZD0.72%0.62%0.65%0.71%0.67%0.80%0.62%
CHF0.10%0.00%0.02%0.08%0.05%0.17%-0.62%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Australian Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent AUD (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD surrenders some gains, back to 1.3420

GBP/USD holds on to moderate gains above 1.3400 the figure on Friday. Optimism surrounding the UK government’s leadership transition and expectations of further BoE tightening support the British Pound, while easing tensions in the Middle East and fading Fed rate-hike expectations weigh on the US Dollar.

EUR/USD turns positive, targets 1.1450

EUR/USD now picks up pace and advances toward the 1.1440 region on Friday, up modestly for the day. With no major economic data due, lingering uncertainty over the US-Iran conflict keeps investors cautious, limiting the pair's upside.

Gold remains offered, still below $4,100

Gold struggles to extend Thursday’s rebound and navigates below the $4,100 mark per troy ounce on Friday. Uncertainty surrounding the Middle East conflict limits the precious metal’s upside, which is also under pressure amid rising US Treasury yields across the curve.

Week ahead – US CPI and Warsh testimony to take centre stage, BoC eyed too

US inflation report and Warsh testimony to headline the week. Dollar to dominate amid slew of other US data and Mideast tensions. Amid fresh Iran escalation, China GDP to shed light on Q2 impact. Bank of Canada not expected to follow RBNZ with rate hike.

Five sessions, one round trip: Why the whipsaw is exactly what Warsh ordered

Markets opened July with a December hike as the base case and spent five trading sessions unlearning and relearning it. A 57K payrolls print bled the tightening bets out of the strip; a re-shut Strait of Hormuz is pushing them back in. Wednesday's minutes from the June Federal Open Market Committee meeting landed mid-round-trip, describing a world that had already stopped existing.

Five sessions, one round trip: Why the whipsaw is exactly what Warsh ordered

Markets opened July with a December hike as the base case and spent five trading sessions unlearning and relearning it. A 57K payrolls print bled the tightening bets out of the strip; a re-shut Strait of Hormuz is pushing them back in. Wednesday's minutes from the June FOMC meeting landed mid-round-trip, describing a world that had already stopped existing.