|

AUD/USD Price Forecast: Aussie spikes down below 0.7050 as RBA’s Bullock speaks

  • AUD/USD ticks down below 0.7050 as RBA Governor Bullock addresses the press, following the bank's monetary policy decision.
  • Bullock affirmed that economic growth needs to slow down to bring inflation lower.
  • Previously, Australia's central bank had left rates on hold at 4.35% as widely expected.

The Australian Dollar (AUD) has reacted with moderate declines against the US Dollar (USD) following Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Michelle Bullock's speech on Tuesday. The AUD/USD spiked down below 0.7050, from Monday’s highs near 0.7075, as Bullock addressed the press, following the bank's monetary policy decision, to regain lost ground shortly afterwards.

The RBA left its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 4.35%, as expected, and Bullock struck a hawkish note, hinting at a likely interest rate hike in the coming months. The RBA Governor also affirmed that the domestic economy is operating “above capacity” and that it will be needed to slow down economic growth to tame inflationary pressures.

Technical Analysis: The near-term bias remains positive

Chart Analysis AUD/USD

AUD/USD hovers around 0.7050, holding within an upward-sloping parallel channel and retaining a mildly bullish near-term bias. Momentum indicators, however, have retreated into neutral territory with the 4-hour Relative Strength Index (14) nearing the 50 midline and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator slipping marginally into negative territory, hinting at waning upside pressure rather than a decisive reversal.

Bears would need to break the channel floor, around 0.7030 and the August 6 and 7 lows, at 0,7022 to confirm a trend shift and aim for last week's low, at the 0.6985 area. On the topside, initial resistance emerges at the horizontal barrier near 0.7085 (June 15 high), ahead of the channel top, now around 0.7120.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool. Know more.)

Australian Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Australian Dollar (AUD) against listed major currencies today. Australian Dollar was the strongest against the US Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.03%-0.05%-0.08%-0.07%-0.06%-0.10%-0.00%
EUR-0.03%-0.07%-0.06%-0.08%-0.04%-0.12%-0.01%
GBP0.05%0.07%0.00%-0.03%0.01%-0.05%0.05%
JPY0.08%0.06%0.00%-0.01%0.02%-0.04%0.07%
CAD0.07%0.08%0.03%0.00%0.04%-0.03%0.07%
AUD0.06%0.04%-0.01%-0.02%-0.04%-0.07%0.04%
NZD0.10%0.12%0.05%0.04%0.03%0.07%0.11%
CHF0.00%0.01%-0.05%-0.07%-0.07%-0.04%-0.11%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Australian Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent AUD (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Guillermo Alcala

Graduated in Communication Sciences at the Universidad del Pais Vasco and Universiteit van Amsterdam, Guillermo has been working as financial news editor and copywriter in diverse Forex-related firms, like FXStreet and Kantox.

More from Guillermo Alcala
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD clings to gains; US CPI in focus

The British Pound holds onto two-day gains marginally at around 1.3500 against the US Dollar during the Asian trading session. The GBP/USD pair remains firm as the British Pound outperforms despite financial markets pricing out the possibility of an interest rate hike by the Bank of England in the near term.

EUR/USD flat lines near mid-1.1500s as traders await US CPI amid Iran uncertainty

The EUR/USD pair struggles to gain any meaningful traction, and holds steady around the 1.1545-1.1550 area during the Asian session. Traders seem hesitant to place aggressive bets and opt to wait for further developments surrounding the Middle East crisis and this week's release of the latest US inflation figures.

Gold stands firm above $4,400; inflation-driven Fed hike bets cap gains

Gold scales higher for the third consecutive day – also marking the fifth day of a positive move in the previous six – and climbs to its highest level since June 5, around the $4,435 area during the Asian session on Tuesday. Friday's weak US Nonfarm Payrolls report pointed to signs of a cooling labor market and forced investors to scale back their expectations for an immediate interest rate hike by the US Federal Reserve.

Bitcoin softens on institutional selling – CRV, ICP outperform
The broader cryptocurrency market shows mixed sentiment as Bitcoin (BTC) drops to $64,000 under institutional selling pressure. The Fear and Greed Index at 37, down from 40 the previous day, signals renewed bearish pressure. Meanwhile, Curve DAO (CRV) and Internet Computer (ICP) continue to extend their gains so far this week, emerging as top performers over the last 24 hours.
Dogecoin: Bullish divergence, whale accumulation support recovery hopes

Dogecoin shows early signs of a potential recovery, trading near $0.070 on Tuesday as bullish momentum divergence suggests selling pressure may be fading. In addition, whale accumulation and improving derivatives metrics suggest a bullish outlook, hinting at a potential recovery ahead.

9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.