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AUD/NZD Price Analysis: Bulls remain hopeful of a break towards 1.0800

  • The AUD/NZD retreated from YTD highs on a dovish RBA monetary policy decision.
  • AUD/NZD Technical Outlook: Upward biased but facing strong resistance around 1.0750s.

On Tuesday, the AUD/NZD pare some of its Monday’s gains, during the North American session, after a “dovish” than expected monetary policy statement released by the Reserve Bank of Australia. (RBA). At the time of writing is trading at 1.0722, barely down 0.15%. The market sentiment has improved, with US equity indices recording gains, except for the Nasdaq Composite.

AUD/NZD Price Forecast: Technical outlook

In the overnight session, the AUD/NZD plunged from 1.0750 to 1.0696, courtesy of a dovish RBA monetary policy decision. Even though it came in line with forecasts finalizing their QE program, the central bank’s language was not as hawkish as estimated. However, the downward move stalled at the confluence of the 50 and the 100-hour simple moving averages (SMAs) around the 1.0702-05 region.

That said, the AUD/NZD is upward biased. The daily moving averages (DMAs) reside below the spot price. Furthermore, the price action of the last nine days depicts that the spot price has been seesawing in the mid-point between the top and the central line of Pitchfork’s channel, which traces the price action from November 2021.

To the upside, the AUD/NZD first resistance would be the YTD high at 1.0757. A breach of the latter would expose the top trendline of Pitchfork’s channel around 1.0760-70 area, followed by 1.0800.

Contrarily, the first support would be the mid-point, between the top and the central Pitchfork’s channel around 1.0690. A break under the aforementioned would expose the central trendline of the channel around 1.0630-50, followed by the January 10 daily low at 1.0575.

AUD/NZD

Overview
Today last price1.0725
Today Daily Change-0.0019
Today Daily Change %-0.18
Today daily open1.0744
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0649
Daily SMA501.0578
Daily SMA1001.0503
Daily SMA2001.0566
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0761
Previous Daily Low1.0629
Previous Weekly High1.0732
Previous Weekly Low1.0626
Previous Monthly High1.0761
Previous Monthly Low1.0519
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0711
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.068
Daily Pivot Point S11.0662
Daily Pivot Point S21.058
Daily Pivot Point S31.0531
Daily Pivot Point R11.0794
Daily Pivot Point R21.0843
Daily Pivot Point R31.0925

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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