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AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Struggles at Tenkan-Sen line, collapses on soft Aussie CPI

  • AUD/JPY kicks off the Asian session with a retreat, trading at 95.30, down 0.05% amid RBA rate hike speculations and disappointing CPI results.
  • AUD/JPY plummets after failing to breach the Tenkan-Sen line at 96.41, hitting a two-week low of 95.15 but remaining above the Ichimoku Cloud, upholding the uptrend.
  • Further falls may lead AUD/JPY to the Kijun-Sen line at 93.96 or the previous year’s daily high at 93.35.

The AUD/JPY retreats as the Asian session begins after registering huge losses of 1% on Wednesday, courtesy of speculations the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) would not raise rates as the Consumer Price Index (CPI) was below estimates. Therefore, the AUD/JPY is trading at 95.30, down 0.05%.

AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The AUD/JPY tumbled sharply after failing to pierce the Tenkan-Sen line at 96.41, extending its losses past the 96.00 figure, achieving a two-week low of 95.15. Despite the AUD/JPY pullback, it remains above the Ichimoku Cloud, confirming the uptrend, though about to face support at the Senkou Span A line at 95.18.

A fall below the latter could drag AUD/JPY prices toward the Kijun-Sen line at 93.96, slightly below the 94.00 figure, followed by last year’s December 13 daily high turned support at 93.35.

Conversely, if AUD/JPY buyers reclaim the 96.00 psychological level, that could open the door to recapturing the Tenkan-Sen resistance level at 96.41. Once cleared, the next resistance would be the 97.00 mark before testing the year-to-date (YTD) high of 97.67.

AUD/JPY Price Action – Daily chart

AUD/JPY Daily chart

AUD/JPY

Overview
Today last price95.32
Today Daily Change-1.01
Today Daily Change %-1.05
Today daily open96.33
 
Trends
Daily SMA2094.66
Daily SMA5092.3
Daily SMA10091.16
Daily SMA20091.74
 
Levels
Previous Daily High96.5
Previous Daily Low95.66
Previous Weekly High97.68
Previous Weekly Low95.26
Previous Monthly High92.44
Previous Monthly Low89.16
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%96.18
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%95.98
Daily Pivot Point S195.83
Daily Pivot Point S295.33
Daily Pivot Point S395
Daily Pivot Point R196.67
Daily Pivot Point R297
Daily Pivot Point R397.5

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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