AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Remains subdued amid rising geopolitical tensions, bearish harami looms

AUD/JPY holds steady as Tuesday’s Asian session unfolds, maintaining a near-flat trading position.
Eyes on 95.55 for potential bullish continuation, while 95.00 poses a threat to ongoing stability.
A breakthrough above 95.55 could unlock paths to September highs, with 97.00 in sight.

Christian Borjon Valencia FXStreet

AUD/JPY resumed its uptrend on Monday but failed to crack last Friday’s high of 95.55 due to a risk-off impulse, given the resurgence of fights between Israel and Hamas after the latter delivered an attack during the Yom Kippur holidays. The AUD/JPY is trading at 95.16, almost flat as Tuesday’s Asian session begins.

The daily chart portrays the pair as neutral biased, though it formed a ‘bearish-harami’ two-candlestick pattern, which could open the door for further losses. Yet if AUD/JPY breaks above last Friday’s high of 95.55, that would open the door for further upside, exposing the September 29 daily high of 96.92. Once cleared, the 97.00 figure would be up for grabs.

Short term, the AUD/JPY is set to extend its gains, as price action is above the Ichimoku Cloud (Kumo) set to extend its gains. First, resistance would emerge at 95.55, followed by the 96.00 threshold. On the other hand, if the pair extend its losses below the intersection of the Kijun and Tenkan-Sen levels at around 95.00, that would exacerbate the AUD/JPY downtrend. First support would be the Senkou-Span B at 94.94, followed by the 94.68 mark and the October 6 daily low of 94.33.

AUD/JPY Price Action – Hourly chart

AUD/JPY Technical Levels

AUD/JPY

Overview
Today last price	95.2
Today Daily Change	-0.15
Today Daily Change %	-0.16
Today daily open	95.35

Trends
Daily SMA20	95.08
Daily SMA50	94.46
Daily SMA100	94.44
Daily SMA200	92.38

Levels
Previous Daily High	95.56
Previous Daily Low	94.34
Previous Weekly High	96.42
Previous Weekly Low	93.05
Previous Monthly High	96.92
Previous Monthly Low	93.59
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	95.09
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	94.8
Daily Pivot Point S1	94.6
Daily Pivot Point S2	93.86
Daily Pivot Point S3	93.38
Daily Pivot Point R1	95.82
Daily Pivot Point R2	96.3
Daily Pivot Point R3	97.04

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

FXStreet

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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