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Asian stock markets slump on renewed uncertainty over Middle East conflicts

  • Asian stock markets come under pressure as US-Iran ceasefire uncertainty revives.
  • US President Trump confirms that a ceasefire with Iran is still intact.
  • Investors await the US NFP data for fresh cues on the interest rate outlook.

Asian equity markets face selling pressure on Friday as risks over the sustainability of the month-long fragile ceasefire between the United States (US) and Iran have increased, following renewed clashes between both nations around the Strait of Hormuz.

During the press time, Nikkei 225 is down 0.66% to near 62,440, Shanghai slumps over 0.4% at around 4,160, and Hang Seng plunges 1.3% to near 26,280.

On Thursday, three US Navy destroyers reportedly intercepted Iranian strikes while transiting the strategic waterway and carried out retaliatory attacks, which prompted fears of renewed tensions between both nations.

However, US President Donald Trump confirmed that a ceasefire with Iran is still intact, while warning that attacks would be obvious if the temporary truce were over, CNN reported.

Meanwhile, Iran is still reviewing the US one-page memorandum of understanding (MoU), which is a 14-point peace plan, and has not delivered any breakthrough response. The one-page MoU restricts Tehran from pursuing its nuclear ambitions for a longer period and calls for the immediate reopening of the Hormuz.

Going forward, investors will focus on the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for April, which will be released at 12:30 GMT. Investors will closely monitor the data to get fresh cues on the US interest rate outlook.

Asian stocks FAQs

Asia contributes around 70% of global economic growth and hosts several key stock market indices. Among the region’s developed economies, the Japanese Nikkei – which represents 225 companies on the Tokyo stock exchange – and the South Korean Kospi stand out. China has three important indices: the Hong Kong Hang Seng, the Shanghai Composite and the Shenzhen Composite. As a big emerging economy, Indian equities are also catching the attention of investors, who increasingly invest in companies in the Sensex and Nifty indices.

Asia’s main economies are different, and each has specific sectors to pay attention to. Technology companies dominate in indices in Japan, South Korea, and increasingly, China. Financial services are leading stock markets such as Hong Kong or Singapore, considered key hubs for the sector. Manufacturing is also big in China and Japan, with a strong focus on automobile production or electronics. The growing middle class in countries like China and India is also giving more and more prominence to companies focused on retail and e-commerce.

Many different factors drive Asian stock market indices, but the main factor behind their performance is the aggregate results of the component companies revealed in their quarterly and annual earnings reports. The economic fundamentals of each country, as well as their central bank decisions or their government’s fiscal policies, are also important factors. More broadly, political stability, technological progress or the rule of law can also impact equity markets. The performance of US equity indices is also a factor as, more often than not, Asian markets take the lead from Wall Street stocks overnight. Finally, the broader risk sentiment in markets also plays a role as equities are considered a risky investment compared to other investment options such as fixed-income securities.

Investing in equities is risky by itself, but investing in Asian stocks comes along with region-specific risks to be taken into account. Asian countries have a wide range of political systems, from full democracies to dictatorships, so their political stability, transparency, rule of law or corporate governance requirements may diverge considerably. Geopolitical events such as trade disputes or territorial conflicts can lead to volatility in stock markets, as can natural disasters. Moreover, currency fluctuations can also have an impact on the valuation of Asian stock markets. This is particularly true in export-oriented economies, which tend to suffer from a stronger currency and benefit from a weaker one as their products become cheaper abroad.

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

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