|

Swiss Franc loses ground as traders turn to US employment data

  • The Swiss Franc weakens as the US Dollar finds its footing after the election-driven sell-off.
  • Traders look to US Jobless Claims and Friday’s NFP report for clues on the Fed’s next move.
  • The SNB’s 0% policy rate leaves the Franc at a yield disadvantage against major peers.

The Swiss Franc (CHF) gives up earlier gains on Thursday as the US Dollar (USD) shows signs of stabilising following US midterm election volatility, helping USD/CHF rebound. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 0.8176, up 0.10% on the day, after recovering from an intraday low of 0.8135.

The US Dollar fell to five-week lows on Wednesday after Democrats won control of both houses of Congress, raising the prospect of political gridlock that could limit new tax cuts and spending packages. The result also fuelled expectations of greater pressure on US President Donald Trump to end the US-Iran war, triggering a sharp decline in Oil prices and offering some relief from inflation concerns.

However, as the post-election dust settles, the US Dollar finds some footing as traders turn their attention back to the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) hawkish policy outlook, which provides underlying support for the Greenback. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against a basket of six major currencies, trades around 101.60, recovering from an intraday low of 101.20.

Despite the decline, energy prices remain well above pre-war levels, complicating the Fed’s efforts to bring inflation sustainably back to its 2% target. With inflation still above target and economic growth holding up, traders expect the Fed could deliver another rate hike in December, with the CME FedWatch Tool placing the odds at around 79%.

Attention now turns to upcoming US employment data for fresh clues on the Fed’s policy outlook, with weekly Initial Jobless Claims due on Thursday and Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) on Friday.

On the Swiss side, the Franc faces headwinds from wide interest rate differentials with other major economies, as the Swiss National Bank’s (SNB) 0% policy rate leaves the currency at a yield disadvantage.

Although recent data show inflation picking up, the bar for a rate hike remains high as it stays within the SNB’s price stability range. Speaking on Thursday, SNB Chairman Martin Schlegel said the central bank had “not yet seen any significant second-round effects” and “would intervene if price stability were at risk.”

Swiss Franc Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Swiss Franc (CHF) against listed major currencies today. Swiss Franc was the strongest against the British Pound.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.08%0.15%-0.02%0.00%-0.09%-0.12%0.16%
EUR-0.08%0.06%-0.14%-0.08%-0.17%-0.22%0.06%
GBP-0.15%-0.06%-0.19%-0.14%-0.23%-0.26%0.00%
JPY0.02%0.14%0.19%0.03%-0.06%-0.11%0.17%
CAD-0.01%0.08%0.14%-0.03%-0.09%-0.13%0.14%
AUD0.09%0.17%0.23%0.06%0.09%-0.02%0.23%
NZD0.12%0.22%0.26%0.11%0.13%0.02%0.30%
CHF-0.16%-0.06%-0.00%-0.17%-0.14%-0.23%-0.30%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Swiss Franc from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent CHF (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Vishal Chaturvedi

I am a macro-focused research analyst with over four years of experience covering forex and commodities market. I enjoy breaking down complex economic trends and turning them into clear, actionable insights that help traders stay ahead of the curve.

More from Vishal Chaturvedi
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates near 0.7000 as USD stays weak

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during Thursday’s Asian session, consolidating the previous day’s recovery gains from a near three-week low as the Democratic sweep in the US midterm elections and Iran diplomacy hopes continue to weigh on the US Dollar. Bulls, however, seem hesitant as focus shifts to Friday’s crucial US NFP report.

USD/JPY drifts lower to 158.25 on hawkish BoJ Minutes, weak USD

USD/JPY trades with a negative bias for the second straight day on Thursday as hawkish BoJ Minutes, showing members agreed to keep raising rates, and intervention risks support the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, US midterm election results and hopes for Iran diplomacy keep the US Dollar depressed as focus shifts to Friday’s US NFP report.

Gold pops to two-week highs near $4,150

Gold builds on Wednesday’s sharp rebound and flirts with the $4,150 mark per troy ounce on Thursday. The precious metal extends it recovery on the back of the irresolute price action of the Greenback and mixed US Treasury yields following the US midterms elections.

TRUMP token hits record low amid mounting selling pressure

Ripple and Stellar extend their recovery as bearish pressure begins to ease for both altcoins. XRP trades above $1.30 after breaking above the upper trendline of a falling channel pattern, while XLM holds above $0.168 and approaches resistance at $0.173. Meanwhile, improving derivatives metrics and strengthening momentum indicators hint at a potential for further recovery.

NFP stress test: Six payrolls releases, measured in daily-loss limits

Friday's US employment report is usually previewed in terms of the headline number and the reaction in the Dollar. For a growing group of traders, those running funded or evaluation accounts with a fixed daily loss limit, there is a more practical question: how much of that limit can the first hour consume, regardless of direction?

US Dollar breaks below 101.50 as Democrats sweep Congress
The US Dollar (USD) comes under heavy selling pressure on Wednesday, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) falling around 0.5% to trade near 101.35 after sliding below the 101.50 level. The Greenback retreats to its lowest level in four weeks as investors reassess the political and economic outlook following the Democratic Party's sweeping victory in the United States (US) midterm elections.