|

Silver: Price decline seen as excessive - Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Carsten Fritsch notes Silver has dropped to USD 48.6 per troy ounce, a 12‑month low, and is underperforming Gold as the gold/silver ratio reaches 80. He sees no Silver-specific trigger, citing tech-stock and base-metal weakness, but argues the decline is exaggerated given strong import demand from India and China pointing to robust industrial and investment usage.

Strong demand contrasts with Silver's price slump

"The silver price has dropped to USD 48.6 per troy ounce today, its lowest level in almost a year. Silver is also significantly underperforming gold, as reflected in the rise in the gold/silver ratio to 80."

"The last time silver was this cheap relative to gold was at the end of November 2025. There is no silver-specific trigger for the price weakness. "

"The ongoing correction in technology stocks is apparently fueling concerns about silver demand from this sector. In addition, base metal prices are also under pressure, which is weighing on silver as around half of silver demand comes from industrial applications."

"We consider the current weakness in silver prices to be exaggerated. India has approved the import of large quantities of silver in the coming months. "

"According to customs data, China imported almost 50% more silver in the first nine months of the year than in the same period last year, the highest volume for this time of the year in eight years and already more than in the whole of last year."

"This points to stronger silver demand in China, be it for photovoltaics, other industrial applications or investment purposes."

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor. Know more.)

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD drops to two-week low, further below 0.7000 after RBA's less hawkish rate hike

AUD/USD drifts lower for the second straight day on Tuesday, hitting a fresh two-week low during the Asian session after the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) widely expected 25 bps rate hike. The decision was far from unanimous, with three members preferring to hold rates at 4.60%. This tempers expectations of further tightening, which, along with modest US Dollar strength, weighs on the currency pair.





USD/JPY fails near 159.00 amid weak USD, intervention risks

USD/JPY edges lower during Tuesday’s Asian session, reversing part of the previous day's gains to 158.00 as the US Dollar remains depressed amid hopes for Iran diplomacy and ahead of US midterm elections. Meanwhile, intervention risks support the Japanese Yen, though the uncertainty over the timing of the next BoJ rate hike caps gains. This keeps the pair confined within a familiar range and warrants caution before placing directional bets.


Gold struggles near $3,900 as traders assess Middle East developments,US election risks

Gold (XAU/USD) loses momentum on Tuesday as Oil prices rebound after the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) reported a US strike on Iran’s Qeshm Island. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades around $3,909, down 0.93% on the day.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP under pressure as investors pull capital

Bitcoin trades downward at $76,566 on Tuesday, testing six-week lows. Ethereum, like Bitcoin, trades under pressure as it consolidates within a narrow support range. Meanwhile, Ripple hovers marginally above $1.25.

US Dollar Index edges up within range with midterm elections front and centre

The US Dollar Index is picking up from session lows but remains within previous ranges, below 102.00. The Greenback is drawing support from hostilities in Iran and higher Oil prices, but US political uncertainty is capping gains.

The 2% inflation target came from a throwaway remark. It now moves trillions
The Federal Reserve's 2% inflation goal grew out of an off-the-cuff remark by a New Zealand politician in 1988. Bond investors still price long-term US debt as if 2% holds, so a change in how the Fed measures inflation would move markets.