|

AUD/USD Price Forecast: Tests descending channel bottom around 0.6950

  • AUD/USD tests immediate support at the lower boundary of the descending channel around 0.6950.
  • The 14-day Relative Strength Index near 32 signals emerging oversold conditions.
  • The pair may find the initial barrier at the nine-day EMA of 0.7018.

AUD/USD continues its losing streak for the sixth consecutive day, trading around 0.6960 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. The technical analysis of the daily chart shows the pair remaining within the descending channel pattern, suggesting a prevailing bearish bias.

However, the AUD/USD pair is keeping a bearish near-term bias as spot holds below both the nine-day and 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs). The configuration of short- and medium-term EMAs above spot suggests rallies remain corrective, while the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) near 32 hints at emerging oversold conditions that could slow, but not yet reverse, the downside.

The AUD/USD pair tests the lower boundary of the descending channel around 0.6950. A sustained break below the channel would put downward pressure on the pair to navigate the region around the five-month low of the 0.6833 region, recorded on March 30.

On the upside, the immediate barrier lies at the nine-day EMA of 0.7018. Further advance would support the AUD/USD pair to test the 50-day EMA of 0.7086, followed by the upper boundary of the descending channel around 0.7130. Further advances would expose the 0.7277, the highest level seen since June 2022, recorded on May 6.

Chart Analysis AUD/USD

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)

Australian Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Australian Dollar (AUD) against listed major currencies today. Australian Dollar was the weakest against the US Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.03%0.12%0.08%0.18%0.71%0.46%0.03%
EUR-0.03%0.08%0.02%0.11%0.65%0.42%-0.01%
GBP-0.12%-0.08%-0.02%0.05%0.61%0.34%-0.08%
JPY-0.08%-0.02%0.02%0.09%0.62%0.38%-0.07%
CAD-0.18%-0.11%-0.05%-0.09%0.54%0.30%-0.15%
AUD-0.71%-0.65%-0.61%-0.62%-0.54%-0.22%-0.66%
NZD-0.46%-0.42%-0.34%-0.38%-0.30%0.22%-0.45%
CHF-0.03%0.00%0.08%0.07%0.15%0.66%0.45%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Australian Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent AUD (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD holds above 0.6950 as bullish USD caps gains

AUD/USD edges lower during the Asian session on Tuesday, stalling a two-day recovery move from a two-month low, touched last week. An extended rout in the fixed income market keeps US bond yields elevated near multi-year highs. This, along with geopolitical uncertainties, helps the US Dollar retain its bullish tone despite receding October Fed hike bets. However, expectations for another RBA rate hike this month could act as a tailwind for the Aussie.

USD/JPY rises back above 158.00 despite hawkish BoJ outlook

USD/JPY rises back above 158.00 in the early European morning on Tuesday. The pair strengthens as the Japanese Yen fails to find any inspiration from hawkish BoJ expectations and looming intervention risks. Meanwhile, geopolitical uncertainty and elevated US bond yields keep the US Dollar near its YTD high despite receding October Fed hike bets. This, in turn, helps the pair stay supported.

Gold hits two-month low as bears await break below $4,100 amid sustained USD strength

Gold attracts fresh sellers following the previous day's consolidative price move, and drops to a two-month low during the Asian session, with bears now awaiting a break below the $4,100 mark before positioning for further losses. Despite receding October Fed rate hike bets, the US Dollar retains its bullish tone and continues to undermine demand for the commodity.

Ripple and Stellar weaken as derivatives positioning fades
Ripple (XRP) and Stellar (XLM) face pressure trading below $1.499 and $0.220, respectively, on Tuesday after a modest correction at the start of the week. Traders should be cautious as weakening derivatives metrics and fading bullish momentum suggest further corrections for XRP and XLM. Derivatives data shows a weakening and cautious signal among traders.
The scarcity trade is gaining momentum – The biggest commodity moves may still be ahead
Something extraordinary is happening across global Commodity markets. Oil is above $100. Diesel has reached record prices. Copper has broken records. Global food prices are rising again. China is restricting fuel exports. Governments are releasing emergency reserves.
Eurozone inflation just hit 3.8%, its highest in three years. This chart shows why the ECB can’t simply hike its way out

The ECB would normally have a relatively straightforward answer to inflation running almost twice its target: raise interest rates. But these are not normal circumstances. This time, the bond market is already doing part of the tightening for it, leaving the ECB facing an increasingly difficult dilemma.