Merlin Rothfeld, John O’Donnell and Patrick Barron talk about several key issues facing our markets including fractional reserve banking and the European Union. Professor Barron points to his article about the demise of the euro, and discusses how the breakup could lead to a new world reserve currency.
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD keeps the rangebound trade near 1.1850
EUR/USD is still under pressure, drifting back towards the 1.1850 area as Monday’s session draws to a close. The modest decline in spot comes as the US Dollar picks up a bit of support, while thin liquidity and muted volatility, thanks to the US market holiday, are exaggerating price swings and keeping trading conditions choppy.
GBP/USD flirts with daily lows near 1.3630
GBP/USD has quickly given back Friday’s solid gains, turning lower at the start of the week and drifting back towards the 1.3630 area. The focus now shifts squarely to Tuesday’s UK labour market report, which is likely to keep the quid firmly in the spotlight and could set the tone for Cable’s next move.
USD/JPY struggles to capitalize on strength beyond 153.75 hurdle
The USD/JPY faces resistance near the 153.75 zone during the Asian session on Tuesday, stalling the previous day's positive move as divergent BoJ-Fed policy expectations offer some support to the Japanese Yen. That said, Japan's weak Q4 GDP print, released on Monday, tempered bets for an immediate BoJ rate hike. This, along with the underlying bullish sentiment, warrants caution for the JPY bulls and could act as a tailwind for the currency pair.
Editors’ Picks
AUD/USD remains confined in a range below 0.7100 after RBA minutes
AUD/USD extends the sideways consolidative price move and reacts little to the RBA February minutes, which reinforced a tightening bias. The hawkish outlook, however, fails to provide any impetus to the Australian Dollar as the risk of another rate hike is already priced in. In contrast, bets for more rate cuts by the Fed keep the US Dollar bulls on the defensive and act as a tailwind for the Aussie amid the underlying bullish sentiment.
USD/JPY struggles to capitalize on strength beyond 153.75 hurdle
The USD/JPY faces resistance near the 153.75 zone during the Asian session on Tuesday, stalling the previous day's positive move as divergent BoJ-Fed policy expectations offer some support to the Japanese Yen. That said, Japan's weak Q4 GDP print, released on Monday, tempered bets for an immediate BoJ rate hike. This, along with the underlying bullish sentiment, warrants caution for the JPY bulls and could act as a tailwind for the currency pair.
Gold sticks to a negative bias below $5,000; lacks bearish conviction
Gold remains depressed for the second consecutive day and trades below the $5,000 psychological mark during the Asian session on Tuesday, as a positive risk tone is seen undermining safe-haven assets. Meanwhile, bets for more interest rate cuts by the Fed keep a lid on the recent US Dollar bounce and act as a tailwind for the non-yielding bullion, warranting caution for bearish traders ahead of FOMC minutes on Wednesday.
AI Crypto Update: Bittensor eyes breakout as AI tokens falter
The artificial intelligence (AI) cryptocurrency segment is witnessing heightened volatility, with top tokens such as Near Protocol (NEAR) struggling to gain traction amid the persistent decline in January and February.
US CPI is cooling but what about inflation?
The January CPI data give the impression that the Federal Reserve is finally winning the war against inflation. Not only was the data cooler than expected, but it’s also beginning to edge close to the mystical 2 percent target. CBS News called it “the best inflation news we've had in months.”
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