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Zcash Price Forecast: ZEC loses steam as ETF selling weighs on recovery

  • Zcash edges higher on Monday, following two previous days of losses and extending a consolidation range.
  • ZEC ETFs recorded $13 million in outflows last week, after a $17 million inflow the prior week, suggesting mixed investor sentiment.
  • The technical outlook for Zcash is mixed as the price remains trapped in a consolidation range between $1,112 and $1,340.

Zcash (ZEC) attracts some buyers on Monday, edging higher after two straight days of losses. The privacy coin saw $13 million in total outflows from institutional investors, while its retail appeal remains mixed. The technical outlook for Zcash suggests it is losing steam as the price continues to consolidate between $1,112 and $1,340.

NU7 release fails to lift ZEC as ETF outflows persist

Zcash’s Network Upgrade 7 (NU7) went live on its mainnet on Friday, reducing block confirmation time from 75 seconds to 25 seconds. However, the upgrade fails to attract buyers, with the price capped below the $1,340 barrier on Friday, leading to two consecutive days of retreat. 

In hindsight, the institutional aversion, with $13 million in outflows last week, weighs on the upgrade. Persistent withdrawals from ZEC-focused Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) could deepen downside risk.

On the retail side, ZEC futures Open Interest (OI) is down 2% over the last 24 hours to $2.68 billion, indicating an unwinding of active contracts while the funding rate rises to 0.0272%, suggesting that traders are rebuilding long-side positions in hopes of a potential rebound.

Zcash ETFs data. Source: Sosovalue
Zcash derivatives data. Source: CoinGlass

Technical outlook: Will Zcash regain bullish momentum?

Zcash trades at $1,240 at press time on Monday, testing the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $1,219, which sits well above the longer-term 200-day EMA at $876, which together hint at a supportive near-term structure.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) and signal line converge near the zero line, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovers just below the 50 level, suggesting a steady, neutral momentum.

To reinstate a bullish trend, Zcash must reclaim the $1,340 barrier set by the October high, which could pave the path toward the September 26 high of $1,698.

ZEC/USDT daily price chart.

On the downside, immediate support is seen at the 50-day EMA around $1,219, with a deeper structural floor at the October 8 low of $1,112 if selling pressure accelerates.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool. Know more.)

Author

Vishal Dixit

Vishal Dixit

FXStreet

Vishal Dixit holds a B.Sc. in Chemistry from Wilson College but found his true calling in the world of crypto.

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