• Swipe price fails to identify a rising wedge conclusively.
  • SXP is connecting the cryptocurrency and fiat worlds.
  • Three-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) flashing a bearish momentum divergence.

Swipe price has been wedging higher since mid-February until the April 10 breakout into all-time highs. The bearish reversal on April 10 combined with another bearish reversal today should caution traders that the upside will be limited in the short-term, and the potential for a deeper correction is now present.

Swipe price first needs a deeper correction

It is correct to point out that it can take various attempts to overtake a previous all-time high, but when the crack is on waning momentum, as is the case with SXP, the odds of success get ratcheted down. The Swipe RSI has been in a downtrend since the high in early February. Momentum is not on the side of a sustainable rally beyond 2020 high.

SXP may oscillate around the 2020 high at $5.14 for a few more days, but the working thesis forecasts a correction to at least the rising trendline from the February low at $3.38, a decline of nearly 30% from the current price. Not far below is the 50% retracement of the rally beginning in December 2020 at $3.07.

A deeper correction should find support at the near convergence of the late March low at $2.54 and the 61.8% retracement level at $2.48.

SXP/USD 3-day chart

SXP/USD 3-day chart

Of course, if some speculators did add to positions on the breakout, they need to be mindful that the drift could continue longer and may even test the 138.2% extension at $6.90 before finally reaching exhaustion. The key is to give a little space to SXP to prove itself.  

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers.

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