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Solana Price Analysis: SOL eyes bullish breakout as institutional demand holds strong

  • Solana hovers above $90 on Monday, preparing for a bullish exit from over a month-long consolidation.
  • Institutional demand for Solana holds steady with $10.70 million in inflows last week.
  • The technical outlook for Solana is cautiously optimistic, though the declining 50-day EMA adds to downside pressure.

Solana (SOL) edges higher above $90 at press time on Monday, after a 13% rise the previous week. Institutional and retail demand for Solana holds strong, evidenced by rising inflows and Open Interest. The technical outlook for SOL focuses on the 50-day EMA as the immediate resistance, capping the upside above $100.

Rising ETF inflows support Solana's recovery

Solana retained its institutional interest as SOL-focused Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) recorded a $7.60 million inflow on Friday, pushing its weekly netflow to $10.70 million. Consistent ETF inflows suggest strong institutional demand, which could help dampen downside pressure.

SOL ETFs data. Source: Sosovalue

Meanwhile, the retail interest in Solana is catching up with the institutional confidence. CoinGlass data shows that SOL futures Open Interest (OI) is up by more than 7% over the last 24 hours, reaching $5.57 billion, suggesting a significant buildup of fresh or higher leveraged positions. 

Amid capital inflows into the Solana futures market, liquidation data shows a wipeout of bearish positions. Solana futures recorded $15.50 million of liquidations in the last 24 hours, led by $14.43 million of short liquidations, reflecting the unwinding of mainly bearish positions. 

SOL derivatives data. Source: CoinGlass

Technical outlook: Will Solana rise above $100?

Solana extends gains at press time on Monday, after nearly 5% gains on the previous day. The recovery in SOL edges above the February 5 open price of $92.11, which acts as an upper ceiling of a consolidation range, while the February 5 close price at $78.35 serves as the bottom support.

The mild recovery shows an upside breakout chance but remains capped well below the descending 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $94.17. A decisive close above this average could expose a higher target at the 100-day EMA at $109.58.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) enters positive territory, while the histogram widens, suggesting improving upside momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 58 rises above the midline, reinforcing a near-term bullish bias.

Chart Analysis SOL/USDT (Binance)
SOL/USDT daily price chart.

On the downside, a bearish close to the day could trigger a reversal within the consolidation range, testing the $78.35 base floor.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)

Author

Vishal Dixit

Vishal Dixit

FXStreet

Vishal Dixit holds a B.Sc. in Chemistry from Wilson College but found his true calling in the world of crypto.

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