|

Cryptocurrency Weekly Update from GlobalBlock

Weekly Comment
"A week is a long time in politics" or so said Harold Wilson, however the last seven days in the crypto space could give politics a run for its money....

Seven days ago, we were talking about the 83% resurgence in Ethereum, which had pushed it back to the number two spot in terms of market cap, and a Bitcoin price that had pushed through the $4,000 level and was showing signs of life.  Since then, we have seen a 51% attack on Ethereum Classic (see Eth comment below) and rumour of a crypto "whale" moving $68m of Ethereum onto an exchange as well as reports of a number of large dormant BTC wallets that are becoming active once more.  The upshot of all this has been a 12% drop in price of Bitcoin in the last week and a 24% drop in the price of Ethereum (which in turn resulted in XRP overtaking ETH once again for the number 2 rank in relation to market cap).

With another busy week ahead, particularly with the imminent Constantinople fork, we could see further volatility across both Ethereum and other top cryptocurrencies.  For those of you wondering what "Constantinople" is all about- then fear not, we will shortly be sending out an article giving all the information that you need.

BTC Price:  $3,587

Last 7 Days: -12%
1month: +7.4%
12months: -74%

BTC Commentary
After last week’s comment on BTC around the $4,000 level, the last week of trading has seen very little to continue to push Bitcoin upwards, with a clear move to the downside and establishing new lows for 2019.  From talking to various sources in the industry there is still expectation of a continued move lower for the largest cryptocurrency with several citing $1,500 level as a potential "bottom."

Elsewhere, according to crypto analytics firm Flipside (recently backed by Coinbase), as of October 2018, a large number of long-inactive* Bitcoin holders have begun to transfer their coins, which has resulted in wallets active over the last month now holding around 60% of the coin's circulating supply.  This has meant that the overall supply of active Bitcoins has surged 40% since Summer 2018.

There are reported to be roughly 1,000 wallet addresses that own 85% of all Bitcoins and so these are the "whales" whose influence could potentially move the market price significantly.  One thing is for certain, now that the holiday period is out of the way, it is sure to be a very busy period for Bitcoin and cryptocurrency generally.

*Long-inactive is classified as wallets that haven't transferred their Bitcoin for between six and thirty months.

BTC Volume
7th January: $5,667,897,072 (BTC price of $4,079)
14th January: $5,010,902,641 (BTC price of $3,587)
11% decrease in trading volume in the last 7 days

ETH Price: $118.57
Last 7 Days: -24%
1month: +37%
12months: -91%

ETH Commentary

The 51% attack on Ethereum Classic last week resulted in the apparent double-spend of $1.1million of ETC.  It was therefore no surprise then to see the market react badly as overall security and integrity issues raised their head. Secondly, there was also talk of a "whale" moving 319,000 ETH ($68m) onto an exchange which may well have spooked the market further particularly for Ethereum resulting in its 24% drop in price for the weeks trading.

After such a volatile week, Ethereum could do with some stability however, this week is huge for the (now) 3rd largest cryptocurrency as the Constantinople fork is due on the 16th.  As mentioned last week, it could be a case of "buy the rumour, sell the fact", so all eyes are on the market reaction post Wednesday to see if the $100 mark once more comes under threat. 

Past Week Talking Points

  • The Winklevoss twins re-emphasised their commitment to getting a Bitcoin ETF during a Q&A session on Reddit's Ask Me Anything.  They also underlined the importance of blockchain versus cryptocurrencies, stating that they need each other in order to exist.  

  • "We believe Bitcoin is better at being gold than gold.  If we're right then over time the market cap of Bitcoin will surpass the 7 trillion dollar market cap of gold" - Tyler Winklevoss.

  • After Sirin and HTC, Samsung are the latest manufacturer to be rumoured of creating a crypto wallet within their smartphones after applying for patents.

  • "Bitcoin has the potential to be worth a lot and to be worth zero" - Bill Miller, noted Wall Street investor.

  • Bitmain, the China-based leading mining and mining ASIC hardware producer Bitmain has reportedly suspended mining operations and is looking to scale down operations in East of Austin- Texas.

Last 7 Days Big Market Movers
Carinet                CIT          UP 725%       Price: $0.013
Cashbery Coin    CBC        UP 168%       Price: $0.16
Even Coin           EVN        UP 145%       Price: $0.72

Market Cap. Dominance
BTC: 52.8%
XRP: 11.19%
ETH: 10.40%
Other ALT-Coins: 25.61%

Author

David Thomas, MSTA

Before founding London based cryptocurrency broker GlobalBlock, David was a partner at the FCA regulated foreign exchange business Global Reach Group, where he spent over fifteen years and was responsible for the business's corpor

More from David Thomas, MSTA
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Solana Price Forecast: SOL consolidates as spot ETF inflows near $1 billion signal institutional dip-buying

Solana (SOL) price hovers above $131 at the time of writing on Monday, nearing the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, awaiting a decisive breakout.

Top 3 Price Prediction: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple – BTC, ETH and XRP face pressure near key technical barriers

Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP) hover around key levels on Monday after correcting slightly in the previous week. The top three cryptocurrencies by market capitalization could face increased downside risk as bearish momentum builds across key indicators.

Top Crypto Losers: DASH, SPX, PENGU – Privacy and meme coins lose ground

Altcoins, including Dash (DASH), SPX6900 (SPX), and Pudgy Penguins (PENGU), are leading losses as the broader cryptocurrency market remains cautious ahead of the macroeconomic data releases, such as the US Nonfarm payroll report, CPI data, and the Bank of Japan’s rate-hike decision.

Top 3 Price Prediction: BTC and ETH eyes breakout, XRP steadies at support

Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) are nearing the key resistance levels at the time of writing on Friday, and a successful breakout could open the door for a fresh rally. Meanwhile, Ripple (XRP) is stabilizing around a crucial support zone, hinting at a potential rebound if buyers maintain control.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.