|

Risk sentiment improving

lmportant news this week

Tue, 21st, 08:00 CET UK Claimant Count Change.
Wed, 22nd, 08:00 CET UK Consumer Price Index.
Thu, 23rd, 03:30 CET AU Employment Change.
Thu, 23rd, 14:15 CET EU ECB Interest Rate Decision.

Risk appetite improves as commodity currencies strengthen

The US Dollar remains firm, yet risk assets continue to perform well. Equity markets are extending their gains, with both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq maintaining positive momentum despite the stronger greenback. The resilience in stocks suggests investors remain confident in the economic outlook and corporate earnings, while expectations for stable central bank policy continue to support risk sentiment.
Precious metals are also trading higher, with both Gold and Silver showing the potential for further upside. The move indicates that investor demand remains healthy despite the stronger Dollar, supported by continued central bank buying and portfolio diversification. In cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin continues to recover, with most major altcoins following the move higher as confidence gradually returns to the digital asset space. Meanwhile, New Zealand inflation accelerated to 1.5%, supporting the New Zealand Dollar and reinforcing expectations that the RBNZ may remain cautious about easing policy. The Australian Dollar is also strengthening, adding to the constructive tone across risk-sensitive currencies.

Market talk

Overall market sentiment remains positive. Strength in the New Zealand and Australian Dollars suggests investors are becoming more comfortable increasing exposure to risk assets. A stable US Dollar combined with rising equities, stronger commodity currencies, and recovering cryptocurrencies paints a constructive picture for global markets. Attention will now shift to upcoming US economic data and central bank comments to determine whether the current rally can extend further or whether markets begin to consolidate after their recent gains.

Tendencies in the markets

  • Equities at support, USD stronger, BTC positive, oil strong, Silver weak, Gold sideways.

Author

Frank Walbaum

Frank Walbaum

FX Strategies.Asia

Frank has been working in the TV business for several years. Acquiring his skills in Germany’s biggest broadcasting station, he then chose to work and live in Asia, which was in 2007.

More from Frank Walbaum
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD clings to small gains near 1.3450 after UK jobs data

GBP/USD trades in positive territory at around 1.3450 in the European session on Tuesday. The UK ILO Unemployment Rate remained at 4.9% in the three months to May, compared with expectations of 5%, but failed to provide any impetus to the British Pound's renewed uptick. Traders stay cautious amid US-Iran uncertainty and the UK political transition.

EUR/USD keeps range above 1.1400 after German ZEW

EUR/USD is keeping its range above 1.1400 in Tuesday's European session, as the US Dollar (USD) retreats following Monday's rebound. Nevertheless, the uncertainty around the US-Iran conflict limits the pair's upside. Meanwhile, the Euro (EUR) pays little heed to the strong German sentiment data, as traders await Thursday's European Central Bank policy announcements, which could drive the Euro's near-term valuation.

Gold extends recovery toward $4,100

Gold gains traction following Monday's choppy action and advances toward $4,100 on Tuesday. However, the uncertainty surrounding the conflict in the Middle East and growing expectations for a hawkish Federal Reserve policy outlook could make it difficult for the precious metal to gather bullish momentum in the near term.

Bitcoin extends advance as ETF inflows, Iran war mediators' proposal lift risk mood

Bitcoin extends its gains, trading above $65,800 after closing above the key technical hurdle the previous day. The bullish price action is further supported by the return of institutional demand, with spot Exchange Traded Funds continuing their inflows on Monday. In addition, the renewed hopes for peace between the US and Iran have lifted risk sentiment, providing an additional tailwind for the Crypto King.

Buy the dip on the Dow Jones and S&P? Forex Trading Gold descending triangle

Trading during a war, a pandemic, during trade disputes, and other geopolitical events, especially when some major players are sociopathic, can be quite challenging. The Iran war is no exception. The Iran war is no exception.

US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.