|

Gold moves higher as US-Iran ceasefire hopes pressure the Dollar

Gold (XAUUSD) moved higher as improving sentiment reduced demand for the US Dollar. Ceasefire developments between the United States and Iran supported risk appetite and shifted market positioning. The weaker Dollar created favorable conditions for gold, allowing prices to gain momentum. At the same time, markets remain focused on geopolitical stability and upcoming Federal Reserve signals, which could influence the next phase of price action.

Gold climbs as ceasefire optimism shifts market flows and weakens Dollar

Gold gained momentum as sentiment improved on ceasefire developments involving the United States and Iran. Markets responded quickly to headlines suggesting a temporary pause in hostilities. This shift reduced immediate demand for the US Dollar, leading to broad weakness in the currency. As a result, gold gained support and moved higher, benefiting from the softer Dollar environment.

The agreement between the US and Iran includes a two-week ceasefire and plans for negotiations. These talks aim to establish a longer-term resolution and restore stability in the region. The proposal also outlines conditions related to oil transit through the Strait of Hormuz and broader geopolitical demands. If implemented, these developments could ease supply risks and stabilize energy markets. However, uncertainty remains as several terms in the proposal appear difficult to resolve.

Despite the positive reaction, markets remain cautious about the durability of the ceasefire. Ongoing tensions and continued military activity raise doubts about sustained peace. Investors are closely monitoring whether both sides will follow through on their commitments. At the same time, attention is shifting toward the Federal Reserve. The upcoming Fed meeting minutes and policy outlook could influence interest rate expectations. A steady policy stance may support gold, while any shift toward tightening could limit further upside.

Gold uptrend remains intact as price holds above key support levels

The gold chart below shows that price continues to hold within a well-defined uptrend, guided by a rising support trendline. Price has respected this trendline over an extended period, confirming a strong underlying trend. Each time gold approached this support, demand emerged and pushed prices higher. This behavior indicates that buyers continue to defend key levels and maintain upward momentum.

Gold Chart

After reaching a peak near the upper boundary of the wedge, gold experienced a sharp decline. Price moved toward the $4,100 region, where it found support near the lower boundary of the structure. This area acted as a key reaction zone, allowing price to stabilize and begin a recovery. The rebound from this level suggests that the broader structure remains intact despite recent volatility.

Currently, gold is attempting to move higher within the rising wedge. The immediate resistance lies near the recent highs around the $5,000 to $5,200 zone. A sustained move above this region could open the path toward higher projected levels. On the downside, $4,100 acts as immediate support, while the $3,900 level marks a key horizontal support zone. Short-term pauses or retracements remain possible, yet the broader trend still favors continuation.

Gold outlook: Ceasefire hopes and Dollar weakness support further upside

Gold is maintaining higher levels as softer Dollar conditions and improved sentiment support prices. The ceasefire headlines have lifted risk appetite, yet uncertainty around its durability keeps markets cautious. At the same time, the Fed outlook continues to shape expectations for the next move. Price is holding above key support levels and maintaining its broader structure. Short-term fluctuations may occur, but the overall setup continues to favor further upside.


Unlock exclusive gold and silver trading signals and updates that most investors don’t see. Join our free newsletter now!

Author

Muhammad Umair, PhD

Muhammad Umair, PhD

Gold Predictors

Muhammad Umair is a financial markets analyst and investor who focuses on the forex and precious metals markets.

More from Muhammad Umair, PhD
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD finds some support near mid-0.7100s as USD bulls await US CPI

AUD/USD steadies above mid-0.7100s during the Asian session on Friday, stalling the previous day's heavy losses to an over one-week low. The August PPI report reaffirmed Fed rate-hike bets and boosted the US Dollar on Thursday, which weighed heavily on the currency pair. However, hawkish RBA expectations limited losses for the Aussie as USD bulls now await the release of consumer inflation figures before placing fresh bets.

USD/JPY holds steady around mid-154.00s; looks to US CPI for fresh impetus

USD/JPY preserves the previous day's recovery gains and consolidates around mid-154.00s during the Asian session on Friday as US Dollar bulls opt to wait for the release of the latest US consumer inflation figures. Meanwhile, the August US PPI report, released on Thursday, bolstered Fed rate-hike bets and acts as a tailwind for the buck. However, a more hawkish BoJ repricing might continue to underpin the Japanese Yen and cap the currency pair.

Gold hangs near one-week low, above $4,300 as focus shifts to US CPI

Gold languishes near its lowest level in over a week during the Asian session on Friday as rising Fed rate hike bets, bolstered by US PPI, underpin the US Dollar. Traders now look to the US CPI report for more cues about the Fed's policy path amid inflation risks stemming from higher energy prices due to the Middle East conflict. The outlook will drive the USD and influence the non-yielding bullion.

Ethereum holds above $2,400 as PPI data strengthens rate hike expectations
Ethereum (ETH) is down 0.7% on Thursday as the second-largest cryptocurrency looks to recover from earlier pressure following the release of stronger US inflation data. The Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand rose 0.4% in August, matching market expectations after a revised 0.1% increase in July, according to the US Labor Department.
Dollar comeback case 'a decent one' – September Fed hike 'back in play'
The dollar was left nursing heavy losses against most of its major peers after last month’s Treasury buyback wobble. Notwithstanding this, we think that the case for a near-term bounce in the greenback is a decent one. Warsh's hawkish pivot at Jackson Hole, followed by what was a blowout US payrolls report for August, has put a September rate hike from the Fed back in play.
Venezuela’s 65-billion-barrel Oil deal could reshape America’s inflation fight
The United States (US) has secured unprecedented access to part of Venezuela’s vast Oil reserves. The timing is particularly significant as the war with Iran is disrupting Middle Eastern supplies, keeping energy prices elevated and reviving concerns about inflation.