Gold – Another downside swing? [Video]
![Gold – Another downside swing? [Video]](https://editorial.fxsstatic.com/images/i/Discover-f-73.png)
Sell trade idea explained.
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Petar Jaćimović
FXCentrum
Petar Jaćimović was born on 8 July 1989 in Jagodina, Serbia.
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AUD/USD edges higher toward 0.6900 in the Asian session on Wednesday, recovering some of the previous day’s losses to its lowest level since March as the US Dollar stalls the hot US CPI-inspired rally amid hopes of a US-Iran peace deal. Meanwhile, hawkish comments from FOMC members have almost confirmed another December rate hike, which favors USD bulls and should cap the Aussie.
USD/JPY struggles to build on the previous day’s strong gains to a near one-month top as intervention risk supports the Japanese Yen while hopes of a US-Iran peace deal cap the safe-haven US Dollar. That keeps the pair's upside limited below 159.00, for now.
Gold clings to recovery gains near $4,050 in the European session on Wednesday. However, upside seems limited amid sustained US Dollar demand. Tuesday's hot US inflation figures fuel expectations of a more aggressive policy tightening by the US Federal Reserve (Fed). This helps the Greenback preserve recent strong gains, despite hopes for US-Iran diplomacy.
Bitcoin remains in a capped tone, trading around $73,800 after slipping to a low of $72,727 following the previous day’s hot US inflation figures. Institutional demand continues to weaken, with BTC spot Exchange Traded Funds recording a $95 million outflow on Tuesday, marking the fourth straight day of withdrawals. Traders should be cautious as a K33 Research report highlights that BTC is at risk of sharp moves as leverage builds in derivatives markets.
October CPI inflation landed yesterday and beat expectations across the board. Note that we only received the MM figures because of last year’s government shutdown. Headline MM came in at 0.4%, beating the 0.3% forecast, though below September's 0.6%. Core MM also came in at 0.3%, slightly higher than the 0.2% estimate and matching the prior month’s reading.
Brent crude has fallen about a third since mid-October on hopes the Iran war is ending, but diesel, freight and fertiliser costs haven't followed. Those costs reach US consumer prices in stages through 2027 and could keep inflation high after gasoline gets cheaper.
