|

GBP/USD outlook: Sterling extends advance on growing expectations for more dovish Fed

GBP/USD

Cable continues to benefit from rising expectations for more dovish Fed after US labor data on Friday added to signals that the central bank would further ease the pace of policy tightening, increasing the possibility for 25 basis points hike in the next meeting and lowering expectations for 0.5% hike.

Sterling rallied 1.6% on Friday, after US labor data added to a risk sentiment, making the biggest daily rally since Nov 10, with formation of bullish engulfing pattern on a daily chart, generating initial bullish signal.

Monday’s extension hit the highest since Dec 21 and broke through Fibo barrier at 1.2144 (50% retracement of 1.2446/1.1841), signaling formation of a higher low at 1.1841, after the pullback from Dec 14 high (1.2446) was contained by rising thick daily cloud.

Improving daily studies (momentum is about to break into positive territory and moving averages returned to bullish setup) underpin near-term action, which looks for a daily close above broken Fibo level (1.2144) to keep bulls intact for further retracement of 1.2446/1.1814 pullback.

Next pivots lay at 1.2215 (Fibo 61.8%) and 1.2304 (Fibo 76.4%) violation of which would expose key barrier at 1.2446.

Extended dips should find ground above 1.2100 zone (last week’s multiple highs) to maintain bullish bias.

Res: 1.2174; 1.2215; 1.2241; 1.2304.
Sup: 1.2100; 1.2072; 1.2044; 1.2012.

GBPUSD

Interested in GBP/USD technicals? Check out the key levels

    1. R3 1.2441
    2. R2 1.227
    3. R1 1.2183
  1. PP 1.2012
    1. S1 1.1925
    2. S2 1.1754
    3. S3 1.1667

Author

Slobodan Drvenica

Slobodan Drvenica

Windsor Brokers

Industry veteran with over 22 years’ experience, Slobodan Drvenica joined Windsor Brokers in 1995 when he was an active trader for more than 10 years, managing the trading desk and own account departments.

More from Slobodan Drvenica
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD stays below 1.3400 after soft UK CPI data

GBP/USD struggles to gain traction and stays below 1.3400 in the second half of the day on Wednesday. The UK annual Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation cooled to 2.6% in June against the market forecast of 2.7%, making it difficult for the British Pound gather recovery momentum. Meanwhile, investors keep a close eye on headlines coming out of the Middle East.

EUR/USD stabilizes near 1.1400 as markets focus on geopolitics

EUR/USD trades in a narrow channel at around 1.1400 on Wednesday. In the absence of high-impact data releases, escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East caps the pair's upside. On Thursday, the European Central Bank (ECB) will announce monetary policy decisions.

Gold holds gains above $4,100 undaunted by risk-off markets

Gold extends gains for the fourth consecutive day, standing comfortably above $4,100, unfazed by the risk-off market amid rising tensions in Iran and higher Oil prices. The pair has rallied nearly 2.5% so far this week and is on track for its best weekly performance in more than three months.

XRP consolidates as inflows and volume climb
Ripple (XRP) retains a slightly bullish outlook on Wednesday despite logging a minor correction from the supply range near $1.15. The remittance token is down 0.5% on the day, reflecting a broader cryptocurrency market drawdown, primarily driven by persistent geopolitical tensions between the United States (US) and Iran in the Middle East.
US – Fed preview: A divided hold
The first month after Kevin Warsh's debut at the FOMC's June meeting has brought mixed signals on the inflation front. On one hand, the re-escalation of the war in Iran has lifted energy prices higher again. Yet on the other hand, Warsh's hawkish comments have already lifted real rates, supported broad USD and tightened financial conditions while realized inflation surprised to the downside in June.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.