GBP/USD outlook: Bears face increased headwinds from 2026 low

Slobodan Drvenica Windsor Brokers

GBP/USD

Cable continues to trade near 2026 low (1.3159, posted on March 31 and last Friday’s low / trendline support at 1.3163) following news of resignation of UK PM Starmer.

Growing uncertainty about how the new Prime Minister (likely to be in place in early September) will run the economy, burdened by prolonged weak economic growth, high debt and the highest borrowing cost in G7 group, with demands to cut spending and increase investments, particularly in defense sector.

All these factors continue to pressure pound, along with stronger dollar, underpinned by Fed’s hawkish steer.

Bearish daily studies contribute to negative short-term outlook, though oversold conditions suggest that near-term action may consolidate above strong supports at 1.3163/59 before larger bears regain control.

Solid resistances at 1.3300 zone (former range floor) and 1.3335 (falling 10DMA) should cap upticks, while potential break higher would put bears on hold and unmask next strong barriers at 1.3408 (daily cloud base / 200DMA).

Res: 1.3278; 1.3300; 1.3335; 1.3377.
Sup: 1.3159; 1.3080; 1.3009; 1.2984.

Author

Slobodan Drvenica

Windsor Brokers

Industry veteran with over 22 years’ experience, Slobodan Drvenica joined Windsor Brokers in 1995 when he was an active trader for more than 10 years, managing the trading desk and own account departments.

AUD/USD holds firm near 0.7000 after Chinese inflation, trade data

AUD/USD stays firm near 0.7000 in Wednesday’s Asian session, picking up some bids after China's mixed inflation and upbeat trade data. CPI rose less than expected in September, while PPI inflation picked up. Meanwhile, the Chinese trade surplus unexpectedly widened in September. The pair remains underpinned by a broadly subdued US Dollar, despite the Middle East escalation, as focus remains on US CPI data.

USD/JPY consolidates near 158.50; looks to US CPI for fresh impetus

USD/JPY stays range-bound near 158.50 in the Asian session on Wednesday, with looming intervention risks supporting the Japanese Yen and capping upside amid a softer US Dollar. However, geopolitical uncertainties act as a tailwind for the safe-haven USD and the pair. Traders also seem hesitant ahead of the release of the latest US inflation figures.

Gold drifts lower with US CPI, Fed speakers in focus

Gold extends losses on Wednesday, despite the lower US Treasury yields, with investors looking from the sidelines ahead of the release of September’s US Consumer Price Index report and speeches from Federal Reserve officials due later in the day. The XAU/USD pair has retreated below the $4,150 level after rejection at the $4,200 area on Monday, with technical indicators showing building bearish momentum.

XRP recovery faces headwinds despite Ripple and Meritz Securities' tokenization push in Korea

XRP trades above $1.36 as bulls gather momentum to face a critical supply range toward $1.40. Ripple and Meritz Securities partner to explore institutional custody and tokenization services for South Korea’s capital markets.

US CPI data expected to rise in September as markets reassess Fed rate outlook

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the September Consumer Price Index (CPI) data on Wednesday. The report is expected to show a further increase in headline prices and a small uptick in annual core inflation. Any divergence from analysts’ estimates could influence the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook and impact the US Dollar’s valuation.

Has Bitcoin really escaped the macro forces it was built to fight?

Over 17 years ago, Satoshi Nakamoto designed Bitcoin (BTC) on the back of a global financial crisis as an alternative to the global monetary system outside the control of central banks, governments and traditional intermediaries. This raises a key question: has Bitcoin really become independent of the macroeconomic forces it was built to challenge?