GBP/USD – Breaks below 0.618 support arc – Confirmed breakdown

Mohamad Gharib Independent Analyst

British pound/US Dollar (GBP/USD): Arc cycle analysis™

Figure 1: GBPUSD 4h chart with Arc Cycle levels. British Pound / U.S. Dollar (GBPUSD) on the 4h chart with the Arc Cycle levels used in this analysis. Source: TradingView chart; Arc Cycle Analysis™ by Mohamad Gharib.

Overview

Based on Arc Cycle Analysis™ applied to the 4h chart, GBPUSD is breaking below the 0.618 Support Arc, confirming a bearish breakdown within the current arc cycle. The next level in focus sits at 1.3185.

Table 1: GBP/USD arc cycle analysis summary

Metric	Reading
Market Bias	Bearish
Preferred Scenario	Breakdown / Decline Toward Next Level
Downside Target	1.3185
Scenario Invalidation	Sustained close above 1.3280
Current Arc Level	Below the 0.618 Support Arc
Cycle Status	Breakdown / Declining Toward Next Level
Arc Integrity	Weakening

Table 1: Key Arc Cycle readings for GBPUSD. Source: Arc Cycle Analysis™ by Mohamad Gharib.

Market outlook

GBPUSD is breaking below the 0.618 Support Arc, confirming a bearish breakdown within the current arc cycle. The broken arc is now expected to act as resistance, with the next level in focus at 1.3185.

A sustained close above 1.3280 would fade this bearish scenario and make this signal no longer valid.

Author

Mohamad Gharib

Independent Analyst

Mohamad Gharib is a Financial Markets Analyst and Quantitative Researcher with more than 18 years of experience in financial markets, including 15 years as an FX Quant Trader.

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