USD/NOK Exchange rate

EUR/USD is posting small gains above 1.0700, finding support from a broad US Dollar weakness and hawkish ECB expectations ahead of the mid-tier EU data this Tuesday. Cautious market mood and disappointing German Factory Orders limit the upside in the major. 

GBP/USD started the week off by dropping below 1.24, approaching a two-month low of 1.2306 reached on May 25th, as investors perceive a narrowing interest rate gap between the US and the UK. However, the Pound recovered those losses on the back of the weaker US dollar and data that put the Fed back into the spotlight on a dovish tip.

Gold price aptly portrays the sluggish markets heading into Tuesday’s European session, after an indecisive week. The XAU/USD highlights a lack of major data/events on the economic calendar, as well as mixed concerns about the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) moves and the diplomatic ties between the US and China.

Although there are no major macroeconomic events this week, investors can expect massive volatility on a daily basis. The reasoning behind this outlook is that Apple will be conducting the 2023 Apple Worldwide Developers Conference (WWDC) on June 5.

Given that investors have very strong recession priors and it's well understood the services sectors are driving the bulk of the post-Covid cross-asset recovery, the negative services print was viewed a tad pessimistic on a multi-cross-asset level as the summer lull beckons.