WTI remains stronger near $104 as Trump threats fuel supply fears
- WTI holds gains over 10% as supply fears increased after recent Trump threats on Iran.
- Trump warned of intensified military action against Iran over the coming weeks, offering no clarity on reopening Hormuz.
- Iran’s Gharibabadi said Tehran is finalizing the draft and will soon begin talks with Oman.
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price steadies around $103.80 per barrel during the early European hours on Friday. WTI price gained over 10% as supply concerns intensified following renewed Iran threats from US President Donald Trump.
President Trump warned of intensified military action on Iran over the next two to three weeks and issuing strong threats against Iran. But he offered no clarity on steps toward reopening the Strait of Hormuz.
Iran’s Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi responded that recent US strikes on civilian infrastructure would not force a retreat, describing them instead as evidence of an opponent in disarray and moral decline.
Reports indicate that Iran and Oman are preparing a protocol to oversee transit through the Strait of Hormuz, though optimism quickly faded. In an interview with Sputnik, Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi said Tehran is finalizing the draft and will soon begin talks with Oman to establish a joint framework.
Meanwhile, the United Kingdom (UK) is hosting virtual discussions with around 40 countries to explore ways to reopen the Hormuz. The US is not participating, after President Trump said it is not America’s responsibility to reopen the route, urging European nations to “go get your own oil.”
WTI Oil FAQs
WTI Oil is a type of Crude Oil sold on international markets. The WTI stands for West Texas Intermediate, one of three major types including Brent and Dubai Crude. WTI is also referred to as “light” and “sweet” because of its relatively low gravity and sulfur content respectively. It is considered a high quality Oil that is easily refined. It is sourced in the United States and distributed via the Cushing hub, which is considered “The Pipeline Crossroads of the World”. It is a benchmark for the Oil market and WTI price is frequently quoted in the media.
Like all assets, supply and demand are the key drivers of WTI Oil price. As such, global growth can be a driver of increased demand and vice versa for weak global growth. Political instability, wars, and sanctions can disrupt supply and impact prices. The decisions of OPEC, a group of major Oil-producing countries, is another key driver of price. The value of the US Dollar influences the price of WTI Crude Oil, since Oil is predominantly traded in US Dollars, thus a weaker US Dollar can make Oil more affordable and vice versa.
The weekly Oil inventory reports published by the American Petroleum Institute (API) and the Energy Information Agency (EIA) impact the price of WTI Oil. Changes in inventories reflect fluctuating supply and demand. If the data shows a drop in inventories it can indicate increased demand, pushing up Oil price. Higher inventories can reflect increased supply, pushing down prices. API’s report is published every Tuesday and EIA’s the day after. Their results are usually similar, falling within 1% of each other 75% of the time. The EIA data is considered more reliable, since it is a government agency.
OPEC (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries) is a group of 12 Oil-producing nations who collectively decide production quotas for member countries at twice-yearly meetings. Their decisions often impact WTI Oil prices. When OPEC decides to lower quotas, it can tighten supply, pushing up Oil prices. When OPEC increases production, it has the opposite effect. OPEC+ refers to an expanded group that includes ten extra non-OPEC members, the most notable of which is Russia.
Author
Akhtar Faruqui
FXStreet
Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.
