|

USD/JPY seen easing to 140.00 in H2 – Scotiabank

The Japanese Yen (JPY) continues to languish. Economists at Scotiabank analyze USD/JPY outlook.

A rapid move higher in the JPY is possible

We forecast USD/JPY easing to 140.00 in H2. This is predicated primarily on the USD responding negatively to easier Fed monetary policy. 

The onerous carry makes long JPY positions prohibitive unless market participants feel the JPY is poised to rally strongly and in quick order. 

A rapid move higher in the JPY is possible – but perhaps only once traders are convinced that a Fed policy pivot is imminent.

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD sits at two-month lows near 0.6950 after Australian CPI data

AUD/USD is sitting at two-month lows near 0.6950 in the Asian session on Wednesday, as below-expectations August Australian underlying CPI data pours cold water on expectations for further RBA interest rate hikes. Chinese PMI data also fail to inspire the Australian Dollar, despite a pause in the US Dollar advance.

USD/JPY stays weak below 157.00 amid Japanese intervention risks

USD/JPY keeps losses below 157.00 in the Asian session on Wednesday, as hawkish BoJ expectations, along with intervention risks, underpin the Japanese Yen, countering dismal domestic factory output and retail sales data. Meanwhile, a broad US Dollar retreat also collaborates to the pair's downside.

Gold eyes US PCE inflation data for next move

Gold is consolidating the previous rebound from an eight-week low of $4,110 in Asia on Wednesday, although it remains below $4,200 ahead of the US ADP jobs report and core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index data.   


Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple pause near recent highs as bullish momentum moderates

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are showing signs of slowing bullish momentum mid-week after slight pullbacks from their recent highs. BTC faces resistance near $85,000, with ETH hovering around $2,674 and XRP holding near $1.500, as traders assess whether these top three cryptocurrencies can resume their recent rallies.

Warning: The RBI's October rate hike may be too late as oil risks mount
The Indian Rupee (INR) is one of the worst-performing Asian currencies in 2026, down about 6.5% year-to-date against the US Dollar (USD) and trading near historic lows ahead of the October 5–7 Reserve Bank of India (RBI) meeting. Economists expect the RBI to raise its repo rate by 25 basis points (bps) next month and follow up with another increase in December to counter rising retail inflation.
Silver is more volatile than Gold ahead of PCE and NFP. This chart shows the positioning gap
The market’s attention is focused on American data this week, but there’s something only those with a trained eye may be looking at: Gold and Silver positioning gap. Financial markets are moving on fears, mostly related to persistently high energy prices driven by the Middle East war. Sure, the US Dollar (USD) is strong, but at what cost?