|

USD/JPY Price Forecast: Skyrockets and climbs above 148.00

  • USD/JPY rallies over 1% after US Nonfarm Payrolls added 254K jobs, lifting US Treasury yields.
  • Bulls target a decisive break above 149.39 and 150.00, with next resistance at the 200-DMA of 151.06.
  • Support lies at 148.00, followed by the Senkou Span B at 147.78 and the bottom of the Ichimoku Cloud at 146.90-147.00.

The USD/JPY rallied sharply inside the Ichimoku cloud (Kumo) after the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) revealed that the latest jobs report added over 254K employees to the workforce. This underpinned US Treasury yields, which lifted the exchange rate to current price levels due to their close correlation with the pair. The major trades at 148.73, up by over 1%.

USD/JPY Price Forecast:  Technical outlook

The USD/JPY aimed higher, yet it remains far from turning bullish. Despite this, bulls are in charge in the short term, eyeing a decisive break above the August 15 high of 149.39 and the 150.00 figure.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is bullish, aiming upwards, suggesting further upside is seen in the USD/JPY pair.

If buyers clear 150.00, the next resistance would be the 200-day moving average (DMA) at 151.06. On further strength, that will expose the 100-DMA at 151.94.

Conversely, the USD/JPY first support would be the 148.00 figure. Once surrendered, the first support would be the Senkou Span B at 147.78, followed by the bottom of the Kumo at 146.90-147.00.

USD/JPY Price Action – Daily Chart

Japanese Yen PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies today. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the New Zealand Dollar.

 USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD 0.52%-0.02%1.22%0.15%0.64%0.85%0.72%
EUR-0.52% -0.52%0.72%-0.35%0.11%0.35%0.18%
GBP0.02%0.52% 1.25%0.18%0.64%0.86%0.69%
JPY-1.22%-0.72%-1.25% -1.07%-0.59%-0.40%-0.54%
CAD-0.15%0.35%-0.18%1.07% 0.47%0.72%0.52%
AUD-0.64%-0.11%-0.64%0.59%-0.47% 0.22%0.03%
NZD-0.85%-0.35%-0.86%0.40%-0.72%-0.22% -0.18%
CHF-0.72%-0.18%-0.69%0.54%-0.52%-0.03%0.18% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD recovers ground above 1.3350 ahead of BoE decision

GBP/USD holds the bounce above 1.3350 in the European session on Thursday. The pair's upside remains capped amid a modest US Dollar recovery. Traders turn cautious and refrain from placing fresh bets ahead of the BoE policy announcements and the US GDP release.

EUR/USD holds losses around 1.1450 despite upbeat German, EU GDP data

EUR/USD stays on the back foot around 1.1450 in the European session on Thursday as the better-than-expected German and Eurozone GDP data fails to support the Euro. The US Dollar recovers ground on renewed Mideast hostilities and the hawkish Fed message. Traders now brace for preliminary readings of the second-quarter GDP from the US. 


Gold bears retain control ahead of US Q2 GDP

Gold maintains its offered tone through the first half of the European session on Thursday and seems vulnerable to following an intraday rejection near the $4,100 mark. Following Wednesday's post-FOMC downfall to a one-week low, the US Dollar (USD) regains positive traction amid escalating US-Iran tensions, weighing on the bullion ahead of the US Q2 GDP release.

Mixed signals leave XRP and XLM at crossroads

Ripple and Stellar are trading at critical technical levels on Thursday. XRP has stabilized above the psychological $1.00 support, while XLM is testing support at $0.173. Traders should be cautious as mixed derivatives metrics keep the outlook uncertain for both altcoins. Derivatives data shows mixed sentiment among traders. CoinGlass’ long-to-short ratio for XRP reads 1.02 on Thursday.

US GDP expected to grow at 2.1% in Q2, unshaken by  Iran conflict
The United States (US) Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) is set to publish its preliminary estimate of second-quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) on Thursday, with analysts expecting the data to show annualised growth at a solid 2.1%, a modest cooling from the 2.1% expansion recorded in the previous quarter.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.