USD/JPY: Intervention efforts usually have an initial effect of a 5 big-figure drop – TDS

FXStreet Insights Team FXStreet

Economists at TDS analyze the implications of interventions from Japan for the USD/JPY pair.

USD/JPY on a path towards 150

Mof officials (e.g., Suzuki, Matsuno) repeated the JPY jawboning today in a warning to speculators that imminent intervention is on the table, especially with USD/JPY on a path towards 150.

The JPY weakness is taking a hit on Kishida's popularity in the polls which probably nudged the government to unveil a new set of economic measures next week. We doubt authorities want media headlines on JPY weakness to overshadow the fiscal announcements, and lean towards them pulling the intervention trigger.

If they intervene >150, watching 146.5 as first support before a retest of the psychological 145 level again – past intervention efforts usually have an initial effect of a 5 big-figure drop in USD/JPY.

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

FXStreet

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

AUD/USD stays weak above 0.6900 after China’s trade data

AUD/USD struggles to capitalize on the previous day’s recovery and stays defensive on the 0.6900 level following the narrowing of trade surplus in China. Increased December Fed rate hike bets allows the US Dollar to pause its decline and weigh on the pair. US CPI data is next of note for the major.

USD/JPY retakes 158.00 on weak Japanese data; focus shifts to US CPI

USD/JPY attracts some dip-buyers and retakes 158.00 in the Asian session on Tuesday as a fall in Japan’s Household Spending offsets hawkish BoJ Summary of Opinions, undermining the Japanese Yen. Moreover, Fed hike bets support the safe-haven US Dollar and the currency pair. The market focus now shifts to the release of the crucial US CPI report.

Gold flirts with $4,000 on solid USD buying

Gold slips back to the proximity of the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce on Tuesday, reaching new four-day lows at the same time. The yellow metal’s severe retracement follows the firm performance of the US Dollar, rising US Treasury yields across the curve and reignited speculation of extra Fed tightening.

Pi Network rebounds from record lows, exits oversold territory as momentum improves

Pi Network (PI) shows a strong recovery on Tuesday, up over 7% after recording its all-time low of $0.0624 the previous day. PI token’s appeal in the derivatives market shows minor improvement, with Open Interest rising to $6.21 million.

Five risks for the global economy in 2027

From AI bubbles to geopolitical breakthroughs, these are some of the five ways why this outlook could go wrong – or right: A severe correction in US stocks triggered by an AI meltdown, second-round inflation effects emerge at scale or geopolitical de-escalation delivers an energy peace dividend.

Gold reclaimed $4,100. Tuesday’s CPI test decides if it holds

Gold (XAU/USD) starts the week on a positive note, reclaiming the $4,100 psychological level as the US Dollar (USD) retreats from its recent highs. The precious metal recovers from Friday's losses, although investors remain cautious ahead of Tuesday's US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, which could determine the next direction for Bullion.