|

USD/CNH: The level to monitor is 7.1200 – UOB Group

The US Dollar (USD) could strengthen further, but it remains to be seen if it can maintain the rapid pace of advance. The level to monitor is 7.1200, UOB Group FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note.

USD can strengthen further

24-HOUR VIEW: “Last Friday, USD surged to a high of 7.1036. Yesterday (Monday), we indicated that ‘the sharp and swift rally appears to be overdone, and USD is unlikely to rise much further.’ We expected USD to ‘trade in a range between 7.0700 and 7.1050.’ However, instead of trading in a range, USD sold off sharply to a low of 7.0583, closing at 7.0724 (-0.38%). This time around, the sharp drop appears to be overdone, and instead of continuing to decline, USD is expected to trade in a 7.0590/7.0800 range.”

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: “After USD surged last Friday, we indicated yesterday (07 Oct, spot at 7.0900) that ‘while further USD strength is not ruled out, it remains to be seen if it can maintain the rapid pace of advance.’ We also indicated that ‘the level to monitor is 7.1200, and in order to maintain the rapid buildup of momentum, USD must not break below 7.0500.’ USD subsequent pulled back sharply, and momentum has slowed to an extent. However, only a breach of 7.0500 would indicate that USD is not ready to head higher to 7.1200.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD hits multi-week tops around 1.3560

GBP/USD gathers fresh steam and advances to new three-month peaks near the 1.3560 zone on Friday. Cable’s sharp move higher comes after three daily drops in a row and follows the increasing selling pressure hurting the Greenback.

EUR/USD pops to fresh two-month highs, targets 1.1600

EUR/USD advances markedly, revisiting the upper 1.1500s for the first time since mid-June. The pair’s sharp uptick comes on the back of a strong retracement in the US Dollar amid BoJ intervention chatter and despite steady uncertainty in the Middle East.

Gold picks up pace, approaches $4,400

Gold rebounds toward the $4,400 mark per troy ounce on Friday, reversing the previous day’s pullback. The precious metal’s recovery comes as fresh and intense weakness keep weighing on the US Dollar, while traders keep assessing easing expectations of an imminent Fed interest rate hike and the situation from the Middle East.

Pi Network Price Forecast: PI extends consolidation as bulls eye $0.10
Pi Network (PI) price holds steady on Friday, maintaining a consolidating tone for three consecutive days. Mild retail strength in the PI token remains stable, with Open Interest above $9 million, while social buzz eases. PI token’s technical outlook is mixed, as bearish momentum wanes to neutral, with bulls eyeing the $0.1000 psychological level.
 Weekly focus: Some relief in US inflation concerns

Actual inflation data for July came out as expected with a 0.1% m/m increase in headline CPI and 0.2% excluding food and energy. Annual headline inflation remains too high at 3.4% and means that wage earners are experiencing stagnating spending power at best, and core inflation is a bit higher than the inflation target of two percent would suggest.

Why is Crude Oil priced for a reopening the ships haven't made?
Fourteen vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday. Before the war, the count ran near 120 a day. In the sessions since the waterway was publicly declared open, Brent has drifted back to $87 and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to $81, both a little lower again on Wednesday, with daily momentum on each unwound from the top of its range in late July to the low twenties now.