USD/CNH: Further retracement likely near term – UOB

Pablo Piovano FXStreet

The resumption of the selling pressure could force USD/CNH to recede to the 6.7000 region and probable 6.6700 in the next weeks, commented FX Strategists at UOB Group Lee Sue Ann and Quek Ser Leang.

Key Quotes

24-hour view: “We did not expect the strong rise in USD to a high of 6.7856 yesterday (we were expecting sideway-trading). The rapid rise appears to be running ahead of itself and USD is unlikely to advance much further. For today, USD is likely to consolidate and trade between 6.7550 and 6.7950.”

Next 1-3 weeks: “Yesterday (18 May, spot at 6.7470), we highlighted that the month-long USD strength has run its course. We were of the view that USD is in the early stages of a pullback and we indicated that support is at 6.7000 followed by 6.6700. We did not quite expect the subsequent sharp bounce to 6.7856. While the bounce has dented the downward momentum, there is no change in our view for now. Only a breach of 6.7950 (no change in ‘strong resistance’ level) that USD is likely to consolidate and trade sideways instead of staging a pullback.”

Author

Pablo Piovano

FXStreet

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

AUD/USD stays weak above 0.6900 after China’s trade data

AUD/USD struggles to capitalize on the previous day’s recovery and stays defensive on the 0.6900 level following the narrowing of trade surplus in China. Increased December Fed rate hike bets allows the US Dollar to pause its decline and weigh on the pair. US CPI data is next of note for the major.

USD/JPY retakes 158.00 on weak Japanese data; focus shifts to US CPI

USD/JPY attracts some dip-buyers and retakes 158.00 in the Asian session on Tuesday as a fall in Japan’s Household Spending offsets hawkish BoJ Summary of Opinions, undermining the Japanese Yen. Moreover, Fed hike bets support the safe-haven US Dollar and the currency pair. The market focus now shifts to the release of the crucial US CPI report.

Gold slides below $4,100 as Fed hike bets exert pressure ahead of US CPI

Gold extends its intraday descent and slides below the $4,100 mark, reversing a major part of the previous day's strong gains to the $4,150 resistance. Firming US Federal Reserve rate-hike expectations turn out to be a key factor driving flows away from the non-yielding bullion. Meanwhile, the US Dollar struggles to lure buyers amid mixed signals regarding the state of diplomatic talks between the US and Iran. This could offer some support to the commodity as traders seem hesitant ahead of US consumer inflation figures.

Bitcoin hits lowest weekly close since August as short-term holders slip into losses

Bitcoin fell below $75,000 on Tuesday, after recording its lowest weekly close since August as selling pressure pushed recent buyers into losses.

US CPI data set to ease in October as markets reassess Fed rate hike expectations

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the October Consumer Price Index data on Tuesday, a release that could influence the US Dollar valuation as investors reassess the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate outlook. The report won’t include 12-month percentage changes for most CPI series in this release, due to missing October 2025 monthly data because of the lack of collection during the government shutdown from October 1, 2025, to November 12, 2025.

Gold reclaimed $4,100. Tuesday’s CPI test decides if it holds

Gold (XAU/USD) starts the week on a positive note, reclaiming the $4,100 psychological level as the US Dollar (USD) retreats from its recent highs. The precious metal recovers from Friday's losses, although investors remain cautious ahead of Tuesday's US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, which could determine the next direction for Bullion.