|

USD/CHF Price Analysis: Struggles at the confluence of 0.8800 and 50-DMA, retraces to 0.8780s

  • USD/CHF grapples with the 50-DMA at 0.8808, marking a decline of 0.38% for the day.
  • A sustained upward trend could see buyers target the June 16 resistance at 0.8901, with sights set on the 0.9000 milestone.
  • A daily close below 0.8800 could send the pair diving toward 2014 low of 0.8699 and potentially the YTD low of 0.8552.

USD/CHF clashes with the 50-day Moving Average (DMA) at 0.8808 and retraces, and prints a daily low of 0.8785 amid a choppy trading session as investors brace for the Jackson Hole Symposium, where the US Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell remarks, are awaited. The USD/CHF is trading at 0.8788, down 0.38%.

USD/CHF Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The pair remains trending steadily to the upside, but the 50-DMA and its confluence with the 0.8800 figure, exacerbated a dip toward the 0.8780s region. If USD/CHF price action continues to register successive series of higher highs and lows, USD/CHF buyers could reclaim the 50-DMA in the near term and target the June 16 daily low turned resistance at 0.8901. A decisive break would expose the 0.9000 figure.

Conversely, if USD/CHF extends its losses and achieves a daily close below 0.8800, the USD/CHF would dive towards the 2014 swing low of 0.8699, followed by the year-to-date (YTD) low of 0.8552.

USD/CHF Price Action – Daily chart

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.8789
Today Daily Change-0.0034
Today Daily Change %-0.39
Today daily open0.8823
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.8741
Daily SMA500.8816
Daily SMA1000.8903
Daily SMA2000.91
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.8828
Previous Daily Low0.8774
Previous Weekly High0.8828
Previous Weekly Low0.8738
Previous Monthly High0.9005
Previous Monthly Low0.8552
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.8807
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.8794
Daily Pivot Point S10.8789
Daily Pivot Point S20.8754
Daily Pivot Point S30.8735
Daily Pivot Point R10.8842
Daily Pivot Point R20.8862
Daily Pivot Point R30.8896

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD sticks to neutral bias above 0.7100 amid cautious markets

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7100 in the Asian session on Monday as the US Dollar stalls its modest pullback from the highest level since late July amid persistent geopolitical uncertainties. The PBOC status quo on Loan Prime Rates also weighs on the Aussie. However, bets on another RBA rate hike continue to underpin the Australian Dollar ahead of the Trump-Xi Summit.

USD/JPY eases below 157.00 amid looming intervention risks

USD/JPY is easing back below 157.00 in Asia on Monday, undermined by modest Japanese Yen strength amid looming intervention risks after Friday's BoJ rate check. A Japanese holiday also keeps traders on edge amid escalating geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine and in the Middle East. As a result, the US Dollar pauses its pullback, limiting the pair's downside.

Gold remains depressed around $4,350 amid rate jitters, modest USD strength

Gold maintains its offered tone through the first half of the European session, and currently trades around $4,350, down over 0.50% for the day. The commodity, however, holds comfortably above a six-week low, touched last Wednesday as traders await further developments around the Middle East crisis and their implications for inflation. This, in turn, would influence interest rate expectations and, in turn, drive the non-yielding bullion.

Zcash holds above $1,500 amid Grayscale ETF stock split, NU7 upgrade

Zcash is trading above $1,500 after more than 40% gains last week, driven by institutional inflows and broader crypto market recovery. Grayscale’s ZEC-focused Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) recorded $98.21 million in inflows last week, while developers focus on the NU7 upgrade to boost its private payment speed.

The week ahead: Fuel prices in focus as we lead up to key eco releases

Financial markets are in a strange position as we move to the final weeks of Q3, uncertainty and volatility continue to grip markets, but the oil price is falling; and European and US stocks are poised to open higher later on Monday. Market stresses are concentrated in sovereign bonds, and European and US yields had another scare late on Friday, and moved higher.

BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks.