|

Ukraine’s President Zelenskiy pushes for real peace, signals US support on security guarantees

Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelenskiy late Monday emphasized the need for true peace and welcomed US involvement in security guarantees. Zelenskyy also confirmed major US arms purchase plans. 

Key quotes

Ukraine needs not a pause in war but real peace.
Discussed security guarantees with Trump and European leaders.
Received an important signal from the US on being part of the guarantees and helping to coordinate them.
The US offered to hold a trilateral meeting as soon as possible.
Ukraine is ready for any format to meet with Putin.
The Washington talks as “good, normal.”
Russia first offered a bilateral meeting with Ukraine, followed by a trilateral one.
Ukraine and Russia should meet without any conditions.
Had a long discussion with Trump about territories.
Details of the security guarantees will be worked out within 10 days.
Confirmed an agreement with the US for drone purchases.
Ukraine has offered to buy about $90 billion worth of US weapons.

Market reaction

At the time of writing, the WTI price is trading 0.04% higher on the day to trade at $62.60, while the Gold price (XAU/USD) is trading 0.04% lower on the day to trade at $3,330.  

Risk sentiment FAQs

In the world of financial jargon the two widely used terms “risk-on” and “risk off'' refer to the level of risk that investors are willing to stomach during the period referenced. In a “risk-on” market, investors are optimistic about the future and more willing to buy risky assets. In a “risk-off” market investors start to ‘play it safe’ because they are worried about the future, and therefore buy less risky assets that are more certain of bringing a return, even if it is relatively modest.

Typically, during periods of “risk-on”, stock markets will rise, most commodities – except Gold – will also gain in value, since they benefit from a positive growth outlook. The currencies of nations that are heavy commodity exporters strengthen because of increased demand, and Cryptocurrencies rise. In a “risk-off” market, Bonds go up – especially major government Bonds – Gold shines, and safe-haven currencies such as the Japanese Yen, Swiss Franc and US Dollar all benefit.

The Australian Dollar (AUD), the Canadian Dollar (CAD), the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) and minor FX like the Ruble (RUB) and the South African Rand (ZAR), all tend to rise in markets that are “risk-on”. This is because the economies of these currencies are heavily reliant on commodity exports for growth, and commodities tend to rise in price during risk-on periods. This is because investors foresee greater demand for raw materials in the future due to heightened economic activity.

The major currencies that tend to rise during periods of “risk-off” are the US Dollar (USD), the Japanese Yen (JPY) and the Swiss Franc (CHF). The US Dollar, because it is the world’s reserve currency, and because in times of crisis investors buy US government debt, which is seen as safe because the largest economy in the world is unlikely to default. The Yen, from increased demand for Japanese government bonds, because a high proportion are held by domestic investors who are unlikely to dump them – even in a crisis. The Swiss Franc, because strict Swiss banking laws offer investors enhanced capital protection.

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD bounces toward 0.7050 on hawkish RBA hike

AUD/USD jumps toward 0.7050 in the Asian session on Tuesday, picking up fresh bids following the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) interest rate hike decision. The RBA said that it remains committed to bringing inflation back to its target, leaving the door open for further rate increases. RBA Governor Bullock's press conference is next in focus.

USD/JPY consolidates near 157.50 as a bullish USD counters intervention risks

USD/JPY struggles to capitalize on the overnight bounce from a one-week low, consolidating around 157.50 in the Asian session on Tuesday. Trump's concerns about the Japanese Yen's weakness fueled speculation about another US-Japan joint intervention. This, along with the hawkish BoJ, underpins the JPY and caps the currency pair. Meanwhile, rising Fed rate-hike bets and oil-driven inflation fears continue to push US bond yields to multi-year highs, keeping the US Dollar pinned near a two-month high and supporting the pair.

Gold sees a dead cat bounce ahead of US jobs data

Gold bounces off eight-week lows at $4,110 early Tuesday, awaiting US JOLTS jobs data. The US Dollar enters bullish consolidation alongside US Treasury yields; Fed rate-hike bets persist. Gold confirms a falling wedge breakdown, while daily RSI stays bearish.

Hyperliquid pares gains as market focus shifts to tokenization assets
Hyperliquid (HYPE) faces intense selling pressure, declining nearly 2% on Tuesday after losing over 5% the previous day. The institutional demand for HYPE continues to fluctuate, risking a net-negative monthly flow in September. The technical outlook for HYPE warns of deeper losses as momentum starts to shift bearish.
India Gold market cautiously optimistic with approach of festive and wedding seasons
The Indian gold market is cautiously optimistic as we approach the festive gold-buying season. Higher prices continue to weigh on gold jewelry demand even as they support investment purchases. Meanwhile, wedding buying appears “resilient,” according to the World Gold Council.
Fed vs BoJ: Both hiked. The market only believes one of them – and the chart shows which

The Fed and the BoJ have just done something remarkably similar. Both central banks raised interest rates by 25 bps last week, both are confronting inflation risks, and both signal that future decisions will depend on incoming economic data.