|

Silver Price Forecast: XAG trades sideways below $60 as RSI bounce eyes breakout

  • Silver remains trapped within the $55.70-$60.00 range for the fifth day.
  • RSI turns higher but stays bearish, hinting at a corrective bounce.
  • Break above $60 exposes 200-day SMA and $70 resistance.

Silver (XAG/USD) price extended its gains for the second consecutive day on Wednesday, up by over 1.25%, yet it remains below the $60.00 figure, consolidating near the year’s low.

XAG/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook

Price action shows Silver trading within the $55.70-$60.00 range over the last five straight days, poised for further sideways trading. Momentum, as measured by the Relative Strength Index (RSI), is bearish despite aiming upwards. This suggests that the white metal could be set for a bounce to challenge the top of the trading range.

If XAG/USD rises above $60.00, it clears the path to test the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $69.80 and the $70.00 milestone. On further strength, buyers can test $71.56, the June 17 daily peak.

On the flip side, if Silver tumbles below the year-to-date (YTD) low of $55.70, the next support would be the November 25, 2025, daily high-turned-support at $54.39, ahead of the psychological $50.00 mark.

XAG/USD Price Chart – Daily

Silver daily chart

Silver FAQs

Silver is a precious metal highly traded among investors. It has been historically used as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Although less popular than Gold, traders may turn to Silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during high-inflation periods. Investors can buy physical Silver, in coins or in bars, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.

Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can make Silver price escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than Gold's. As a yieldless asset, Silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its moves also depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Silver at bay, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to propel prices up. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – Silver is much more abundant than Gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.

Silver is widely used in industry, particularly in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, as it has one of the highest electric conductivity of all metals – more than Copper and Gold. A surge in demand can increase prices, while a decline tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies can also contribute to price swings: for the US and particularly China, their big industrial sectors use Silver in various processes; in India, consumers’ demand for the precious metal for jewellery also plays a key role in setting prices.

Silver prices tend to follow Gold's moves. When Gold prices rise, Silver typically follows suit, as their status as safe-haven assets is similar. The Gold/Silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of Silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of Gold, may help to determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that Silver is undervalued, or Gold is overvalued. On the contrary, a low ratio might suggest that Gold is undervalued relative to Silver.

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD sits at two-month lows near 0.6950 after Australian CPI data

AUD/USD is sitting at two-month lows near 0.6950 in the Asian session on Wednesday, as below-expectations August Australian underlying CPI data pours cold water on expectations for further RBA interest rate hikes. Chinese PMI data also fail to inspire the Australian Dollar, despite a pause in the US Dollar advance.

USD/JPY stays weak below 157.00 amid Japanese intervention risks

USD/JPY keeps losses below 157.00 in the Asian session on Wednesday, as hawkish BoJ expectations, along with intervention risks, underpin the Japanese Yen, countering dismal domestic factory output and retail sales data. Meanwhile, a broad US Dollar retreat also collaborates to the pair's downside.

Gold flat lines below $4,200 as traders await US PCE data for Fed rate cues

Gold extends its consolidative price move heading into the European session, trading below the $4,200 mark amid mixed fundamental cues. Falling US bond yields drag the US Dollar away from the two-month high, touched on Tuesday, and act as a tailwind for the commodity. However, hawkish US Federal Reserve expectations cap the upside as traders await important US macro data before placing fresh directional bets on the non-yielding bullion.

Aave Price consolidates below $161 as profit-taking emerges after 10% surge

Aave slips below $161 on Wednesday after surging more than 10% the previous day, with on-chain data suggesting increased profit-taking. Meanwhile, Aave founder Stani Kulechov is considering an AAVE token-burn mechanism under Aavenomics 3.0, adding a potential catalyst for AAVE.

Warning: The RBI's October rate hike may be too late as oil risks mount
The Indian Rupee (INR) is one of the worst-performing Asian currencies in 2026, down about 6.5% year-to-date against the US Dollar (USD) and trading near historic lows ahead of the October 5–7 Reserve Bank of India (RBI) meeting. Economists expect the RBI to raise its repo rate by 25 basis points (bps) next month and follow up with another increase in December to counter rising retail inflation.
Silver is more volatile than Gold ahead of PCE and NFP. This chart shows the positioning gap
The market’s attention is focused on American data this week, but there’s something only those with a trained eye may be looking at: Gold and Silver positioning gap. Financial markets are moving on fears, mostly related to persistently high energy prices driven by the Middle East war. Sure, the US Dollar (USD) is strong, but at what cost?