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Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD retreats from one-week high, seems vulnerable below $22.00

  • Silver meets with a fresh supply and erodes a part of the overnight gains to a one-week high.
  • The technical setup seems tilted in favour of bears and supports prospects for further losses.
  • A sustained strength beyond the $22.20-30 region is needed to negate the negative outlook.

Silver comes under some renewed selling pressure on Tuesday and for now, seems to have snapped a two-day winning streak to a one-week high, around the $22.00 mark touched the previous day. The white metal maintains its offered tone through the early part of the European session and currently trades near the daily low, around the $21.70 region, down over 0.75% for the day.

From a technical perspective, the recent failure near the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and a subsequent breakdown through the $22.30-$22.20 horizontal support favours bearish traders. Moreover, oscillators on the daily chart are still holding in the negative territory and suggest that the path of least resistance for the XAG/USD remains to the downside.

Some follow-through weakness below the overnight swing low, around the $21.55 region, will reaffirm the negative bias and drag the white metal back towards a multi-day-old trading range resistance breakpoint, around the $21.3-$21.30 region. The next relevant support is pegged near the $21.00 mark, below which the XAG/USD could slide to the $20.70-$20.65 region.

The latter represents a nearly seven-month low touched last week, which if broken decisively should pave the way for the resumption of the recent descending trend witnessed over the past month or so. The XAG/USD might then turn vulnerable to prolong the downward trajectory and challenge the YTD trough – levels just below the $20.00 psychological mark.

On the flip side, momentum beyond the $22.00 mark is likely to remain capped near the aforementioned support breakpoint, now turned resistance, around the $22.20-$22.30 region. A sustained strength beyond, however, might prompt an aggressive short-covering move and allow the XAG/USD to reclaim the $23.00 mark. The momentum could get extended further towards the 200-day SMA, currently around the $23.35 area.

Silver daily chart

fxsoriginal

Technical levels to watch

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price21.73
Today Daily Change-0.15
Today Daily Change %-0.69
Today daily open21.88
 
Trends
Daily SMA2022.46
Daily SMA5023.05
Daily SMA10023.36
Daily SMA20023.38
 
Levels
Previous Daily High22.02
Previous Daily Low21.57
Previous Weekly High22.2
Previous Weekly Low20.68
Previous Monthly High24.82
Previous Monthly Low22.12
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%21.85
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%21.74
Daily Pivot Point S121.63
Daily Pivot Point S221.38
Daily Pivot Point S321.19
Daily Pivot Point R122.08
Daily Pivot Point R222.27
Daily Pivot Point R322.52

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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