Pound Sterling Price News and Forecast: GBP/USD may face initial resistance at the two-month high

FXStreet Team FXStreet

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Eyes nine-day EMA support near 1.3500

GBP/USD steadies for the second successive day, trading around 1.3530 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates an ongoing bullish bias as the pair moves sideways within the ascending channel pattern.

The GBP/USD pair holds a constructive bullish bias as it remains above both the nine-day and 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs). This alignment of short- and medium-term EMAs below the spot suggests ongoing upside control. Meanwhile, the 14-day Relative Strength Index near 58 stays in positive territory without yet signaling overbought conditions, hinting that buyers still retain the initiative. Read more...

GBP/USD treads water ahead of Fed and BoE rate double-header

GBP/USD ended Monday largely unchanged from Friday's closing bids close to 1.3535, with the pair drifting in a tight range through the European and US sessions. Price tagged a session high near 1.3575 in early dealing before fading back to the 1.3535 area, where small-bodied candles and overlapping bodies pointed to indecision. The pair is consolidating near the upper end of an April recovery that began from the 1.3160 area, with markets reluctant to commit ahead of this week's central bank double-header.

The Fed and the Bank of England (BoE) both deliver rate decisions this week, a back-to-back setup that effectively sets the tone for the pair through May. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is widely expected to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50% to 3.75% on Wednesday in Chair Jerome Powell's final meeting before his term expires May 15. April brings no Summary of Economic Projections, leaving the statement and press conference to do the work amid March headline inflation at a two-year high of 3.3% and Q4 2025 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) revised to just 0.5%. The Senate Banking Committee is also scheduled to vote on Kevin Warsh's nomination as Powell's successor on Wednesday, layering leadership-transition risk on top of the policy event. Thursday's advance Q1 GDP read (consensus 2.2%), Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) print (forecast 3.2% YoY), and Friday's ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) round out a packed US data calendar. Read more...

GBP/USD edges up as stalled Iran talks keep markets on edge

GBP/USD registers modest gains during the North American session on Monday, up by 0.19%, as US-Iran talks stalled, while market mood remains fragile, as reflected in US equity markets trading lower. The pair trades at 1.3548, after bouncing off daily lows of 1.3506.

The economic schedule on both sides of the Atlantic will be busy. On Tuesday, the Federal Reserve (Fed) begins its two-day monetary policy meeting, in which policymakers are expected to keep interest rates unchanged as they digest the impact of high energy prices sparked by the Middle East conflict. Eyes will also be on Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s decision to stay at the US central bank or to resign once Kevin Warsh is approved to succeed him. Read more...

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FXStreet Team

FXStreet

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GBP/USD flirts with tops near 1.3470

GBP/USD manages to regain composure and challenge the area of daily highs around 1.3470 on Friday. Cable picks up pace despite marginal gains in the Greenback in a context of swelling geopolitical tensions and rising global oil prices.

Gold remains below $4,100 despite receding Fed hike bets, weak USD

Gold opens with a bullish gap at the start of a new week amid receding Fed rate-hike expectations and a bearish US Dollar. Oil prices tumbled after Trump canceled an attack on Iran and said that a deal is near, easing inflation fears. This forces traders to dial back bets on extreme Fed tightening and drags the USD to a fresh low since June 17, which, in turn, is supporting the non-yielding bullion. However, the recent repeated failures to find acceptance above $4,100 warrant caution for XAU/USD bulls.

Gold: The $4,000 mark holds the downside for now

Gold faces renewed selling pressure, falling sharply toweard the $4,000 mark per troy ounce as the US Dollar regains momentum. Escalating US-Iran tensions are keeping inflation concerns and expectations of further Fed rate hikes alive, weighing further on the yellow metal.

Week ahead: US payrolls report and AI earnings to keep investors on edge

After the Fed decision, NFP report awaited for more rate hike clues. Employment also on the agenda in Canada and New Zealand. Chinese trade and Japanese wage data to be watched too. But Iran and AI headlines to remain in driver’s seat for risk sentiment.

Warsh needs to restore his reputation

We were glad to see our deeply negative reaction to the Warsh press conference was not some personal peculiarity. Just about everybody in the financial press felt the same way. The consensus is building it’s not the Fed in the dog-house but only Warsh. Today the WSJ changed it tune and blasted Warsh—"the honeymoon is already over..”

9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?

The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.