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NZD/USD Price Forecast: Kiwi crawls past 0.5760 as bearish momentum eases

  • NZD/USD picks up from 10-week lows, at 0.5750, despite the risk-averse mood.
  • The Kiwi lost nearly 1.6% over the last three days, with the USD boosted by geopolitical woes.
  • Trendline resistance at 0.5775 and session high, at 0.5780, are holding NZD bulls for now.

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) maintains its bearish trend against the US Dollar (USD) intact. The pair, however, is showing a milder positive tone on Friday, and appreciates to levels around 0.5770 at the time of writing, after hitting multi-week lows below 0.5750, with technical indicators suggesting the possibility of a bullish correction.

The pair dropped about 1.6% over the previous three days and is on track for a 0.85% weekly decline. The risk-sensitive kiwi has been one of the worst-performing currencies as the consequences of the war between the US and Iran have boosted support for the safe-haven USD.

Chart Analysis NZD/USD

Technical Analysis

Technical indicators in the hourly chart, however, show incipient signs of a potential correction. The near-term bias remains bearish, but the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has picked up to near 45 after recovering from oversold territory, which hints at fading selling pressure. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line fluctuates close to the signal and around the zero line, with a marginal positive tilt in the latest bars that suggests a modest recovery momentum

Bulls remain capped below the confluence of the trendline resistance from March 23 highs, now at 0.5775, and the 0.5780 intra-day high. A clear break of these levels is likely to ease bearish pressure and shift bulls' focus towards the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the latest downswing, at 0.5800.

On the downside, bears remain contained above the session low, at the 0.5760 area for now, ahead of Thursday's low, at the 0.5750 area. Further down, the channel's bottom, now around 0.5720, emerges as a plausible target.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)

(The title of this piece was corrected on March 27 at 11:35 GMT to say that the NZD/USD crawls past 0.5760, and not 0.5060 as previously reported.)

New Zealand Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of New Zealand Dollar (NZD) against listed major currencies today. New Zealand Dollar was the strongest against the Swiss Franc.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.06%0.13%0.06%-0.07%-0.10%-0.10%0.19%
EUR-0.06%0.08%-0.02%-0.13%-0.16%-0.15%0.12%
GBP-0.13%-0.08%-0.11%-0.21%-0.24%-0.23%0.04%
JPY-0.06%0.02%0.11%-0.09%-0.15%-0.14%0.15%
CAD0.07%0.13%0.21%0.09%-0.04%-0.02%0.25%
AUD0.10%0.16%0.24%0.15%0.04%0.00%0.28%
NZD0.10%0.15%0.23%0.14%0.02%-0.01%0.28%
CHF-0.19%-0.12%-0.04%-0.15%-0.25%-0.28%-0.28%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the New Zealand Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent NZD (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Guillermo Alcala

Graduated in Communication Sciences at the Universidad del Pais Vasco and Universiteit van Amsterdam, Guillermo has been working as financial news editor and copywriter in diverse Forex-related firms, like FXStreet and Kantox.

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