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NZD/USD hangs near weekly low, looks to US data ahead of RBNZ on Wednesday

  • NZD/USD drifts lower for the second straight day and drops to a one-week low on Tuesday.
  • Retreating US bond yields undermines the USD and helps limit the downside for the major.
  • Traders look to the US macro data for a fresh impetus ahead of the RBNZ on Wednesday.

The NZD/USD pair remains under some selling pressure for the second straight day on Tuesday and drops to a one-week low, around mid-0.6100s during the Asian session. Spot prices, however, recover a few pips from the daily trough in the wake of a modest US Dollar (USD) downtick and currently trade around the 0.6165 region, down just over 0.10% for the day.

The USD Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, remains depressed amid a fresh leg down in the US Treasury bond yields, which, in turn, helps limit the downside for the NZD/USD pair. Any meaningful downfall for the USD, however, still seems elusive as investors now seem convinced that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will keep interest rates higher for longer on the back of sticky inflation and a still-resilient US economy.

The Fed's hawkish outlook should act as a tailwind for the US bond yields and the buck, warranting caution before positioning for the resumption of the NZD/USD pair's recent strong move up witnessed over the past two weeks or so, from sub-0.6100 levels. Traders might also prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of the key central bank event risk – the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) policy decision, scheduled to be announced on Wednesday.

In the meantime, traders on Tuesday will take cues from the US macro data– Durable Goods Orders, the Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index and the Richmond Manufacturing Index. The focus, however, will remain glued to the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index on Thursday, which should influence the Fed's future policy decisions. This, in turn, will provide a fresh impetus to the USD and the NZD/USD pair.

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6165
Today Daily Change-0.0007
Today Daily Change %-0.11
Today daily open0.6172
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6126
Daily SMA500.618
Daily SMA1000.6091
Daily SMA2000.6077
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6201
Previous Daily Low0.6162
Previous Weekly High0.6219
Previous Weekly Low0.6122
Previous Monthly High0.6339
Previous Monthly Low0.6061
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6177
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6186
Daily Pivot Point S10.6156
Daily Pivot Point S20.6139
Daily Pivot Point S30.6117
Daily Pivot Point R10.6195
Daily Pivot Point R20.6217
Daily Pivot Point R30.6234

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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