NZD/USD: 0.5775 is probably out of reach – UOB Group

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is likely to trade in a 0.5860/0.5910 range. In the longer run, slowdown in downward momentum indicates that 0.5775 is probably out of reach, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note.

NZD is likely to trade in a 0.5860/0.5910 range

24-HOUR VIEW: “Yesterday, we expected NZD to trade in a range between 0.5845 and 0.5885. NZD subsequently dipped to 0.5838 before rising strongly to 0.5898. Despite the advance, there has been no significant increase in momentum, and NZD is unlikely to advance much further. Today, NZD is more likely to trade in a 0.5860/0.5910 range.”

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: “We turned negative in NZD last Wednesday (13 Nov, spot at 0.5925), but we indicated that ‘it is too early to tell if the major support at 0.5850 is within reach.’ After NZD fell below 0.5850, we indicated last Friday (15 Nov, spot at 0.5845) that ‘the outlook for NZD remains negative, and the technical target now is at last year’s low of 0.5775.’ Yesterday, NZD rebounded to 0.5898. While our ‘strong resistance’ level at 0.5915 has not been breached yet, the slowdown in downward momentum indicates that 0.5775 is probably out of reach.”