JPY underperforming on sentiment – Scotiabank

FXStreet Insights Team FXStreet

The Japanese Yen (JPY) is weak, down 0.5% against the US Dollar (USD) and underperforming all of the G10 currencies as we head into Monday’s NA session, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.

Markets eye US political developments

"Sentiment appears to be dominating, with markets cheering the possibility of an end to the government shutdown. The jump in US yields has weighed on the yen via spreads, though risk reversal remain largely unchanged suggesting little in terms of sentiment."

"Fundamental releases have been limited to second-tier leading indicators, which came in as expected. Comments from the BoJ have also leaned somewhat hawkish, and new PM Takaichi has reaffirmed comments respecting central bank independence."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

FXStreet

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

AUD/USD holds firm near 0.7000 after Chinese inflation, trade data

AUD/USD stays firm near 0.7000 in Wednesday’s Asian session, picking up some bids after China's mixed inflation and upbeat trade data. CPI rose less than expected in September, while PPI inflation picked up. Meanwhile, the Chinese trade surplus unexpectedly widened in September. The pair remains underpinned by a broadly subdued US Dollar, despite the Middle East escalation, as focus remains on US CPI data.

USD/JPY consolidates near 158.50; looks to US CPI for fresh impetus

USD/JPY stays range-bound near 158.50 in the Asian session on Wednesday, with looming intervention risks supporting the Japanese Yen and capping upside amid a softer US Dollar. However, geopolitical uncertainties act as a tailwind for the safe-haven USD and the pair. Traders also seem hesitant ahead of the release of the latest US inflation figures.

Gold looks to $4100 and US CPI inflation amid geopolitical risks

Gold falls for the third straight day on Wednesday, as the recent recovery falters ahead of US inflation. US Dollar pauses correction amid rising Oil prices and stabilizing US Treasury bond yields. The daily bearish RSI remains a headwind for Gold buyers, with $4,100 seen at risk.

Bitcoin eyes $85,000; ETH holds support, XRP stabilizes

Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Ripple (XRP) show signs of recovery on Wednesday as buyers try to regain control after their recent market weakness. BTC extends its rebound toward the $85,000 resistance, while ETH and XRP find support around key levels.

What happens after a US Treasury market crash

The global bond market is under severe pressure as US Treasury yields reach multi-decade highs, driven by persistent inflation risk, heavy government and corporate debt issuance, and expanding term premiums. Higher yields raise borrowing costs and tighten financial conditions, but a severe bond selloff can ultimately shift investor focus from inflation to growth and financial stability.

Has Bitcoin really escaped the macro forces it was built to fight?

Over 17 years ago, Satoshi Nakamoto designed Bitcoin (BTC) on the back of a global financial crisis as an alternative to the global monetary system outside the control of central banks, governments and traditional intermediaries. This raises a key question: has Bitcoin really become independent of the macroeconomic forces it was built to challenge?