|

Iran's army: We would open new fronts against US if it resumes war

According to Iran’s Iranian Students' News Agency (ISNA), Iran’s army has warned it would “open new fronts” against the United States (US) if it resumes attacks on the country, The Guardian reported.

“If the enemy is foolish enough to fall into the Zionist trap again and launch new aggression against our beloved Iran, we will open new fronts against it, with new equipment and new methods,” army spokesperson Mohammad Akraminia said.

This came after reports that US President Donald Trump is weighing up restarting military operations in Iran amid an impasse in negotiations.

Market reaction

The US Dollar (USD) seems to have extended its intraday upside, following Iran's retaliatory threats if the US resumes the war. As of writing, the US Dollar Index (DXY) trades 0.3% higher to near 99.25.

Risk sentiment FAQs

In the world of financial jargon the two widely used terms “risk-on” and “risk off'' refer to the level of risk that investors are willing to stomach during the period referenced. In a “risk-on” market, investors are optimistic about the future and more willing to buy risky assets. In a “risk-off” market investors start to ‘play it safe’ because they are worried about the future, and therefore buy less risky assets that are more certain of bringing a return, even if it is relatively modest.

Typically, during periods of “risk-on”, stock markets will rise, most commodities – except Gold – will also gain in value, since they benefit from a positive growth outlook. The currencies of nations that are heavy commodity exporters strengthen because of increased demand, and Cryptocurrencies rise. In a “risk-off” market, Bonds go up – especially major government Bonds – Gold shines, and safe-haven currencies such as the Japanese Yen, Swiss Franc and US Dollar all benefit.

The Australian Dollar (AUD), the Canadian Dollar (CAD), the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) and minor FX like the Ruble (RUB) and the South African Rand (ZAR), all tend to rise in markets that are “risk-on”. This is because the economies of these currencies are heavily reliant on commodity exports for growth, and commodities tend to rise in price during risk-on periods. This is because investors foresee greater demand for raw materials in the future due to heightened economic activity.

The major currencies that tend to rise during periods of “risk-off” are the US Dollar (USD), the Japanese Yen (JPY) and the Swiss Franc (CHF). The US Dollar, because it is the world’s reserve currency, and because in times of crisis investors buy US government debt, which is seen as safe because the largest economy in the world is unlikely to default. The Yen, from increased demand for Japanese government bonds, because a high proportion are held by domestic investors who are unlikely to dump them – even in a crisis. The Swiss Franc, because strict Swiss banking laws offer investors enhanced capital protection.

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD turns negative; slips back to 1.3530

GBP/USD comes under pressure and weakens toward the 1.3530 zone on Tuesday. Cable thus leaves behind two daily upticks in a row and retreats further from Monday’s multi-week tops past 1.3570 following humble gains in the Greenback and disheartening UK jobs data.

EUR/USD comes under pressure near 1.1570

EUR/USD could not sustain the earlier bullish attempt toward the proximity of 1.1600 the figure, coming under fresh downside pressure and revisiting the 1.1580-1.1570 band as the NA session draws to a close on Tuesday. The better tone in the US Dollar in the latter part of the day weighs on the pair amid steady volatility in the Middle East. Looking forward, the release of the FOMC Minutes takes centre stage on Wednesday.

Gold consolidates below $4,350; looks to FOMC Minutes for fresh impetus

Gold holds steady below $4,350, following the previous day's heavy losses, as traders await the release of FOMC Minutes for cues about the Fed's future policy path. In the meantime, the recent surge in US bond yields, bolstered by inflation fears stemming from rising oil prices, supports the US Dollar amid the Middle East crisis and should cap the non-yielding bullion.

Ethereum: Investors remain on the sidelines

Ethereum continued its consolidation pattern over the past week with several key on-chain and derivatives metrics indicating traders remain hesitant to return to the market. The holdings across several wallet cohorts remained largely unchanged over the past week. Wallets holding 10K-100K ETH, also classified as whales, saw modest inflows of only 10K ETH.

WTI rises to near $85.00 amid escalating US-Iran tensions

West Texas Intermediate oil price extends its gains for the fourth consecutive day, trading around $84.80 per barrel during the Asian hours on Wednesday. Crude oil prices advance as ongoing geopolitical friction between the United States and Iran sustained market concerns over global supply.

Why is Crude Oil priced for a reopening the ships haven't made?
Fourteen vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday. Before the war, the count ran near 120 a day. In the sessions since the waterway was publicly declared open, Brent has drifted back to $87 and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to $81, both a little lower again on Wednesday, with daily momentum on each unwound from the top of its range in late July to the low twenties now.