|

Goldman Sachs raises Turkiye 2022 GDP growth forecast to 5.5% from 3.5%

Goldman Sachs (GS) said on Thursday it had raised its forecast for Turkey's 2022 GDP growth to 5.5% from 3.5%, while lifting its 2022 current account deficit forecast to $45 billion from $36 billion, per Reuters.

The news also adds that the GS said the Turkish Central Bank's forex reserves had risen sharply since the third week of June and that, with less of an external funding constraint, it was updating its macro forecasts and market views.

Key quotes

The additional funding implies that the need to tighten policy to avoid an external funding gap has declined substantially, and we think policymakers will use this space to support growth.

Data on Wednesday showed Turkey's economy grew 7.6% year-on-year in the second quarter as expected, extending a hot streak on strong domestic demand and exports.

Also read: USD/TRY finally reaches 18.20 and beyond, new 2022 highs

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD seems fragile below 1.1700 as Middle East war boosts energy prices

The EUR/USD pair trades flat at around 1.1680 during the Asian trading session on Tuesday, but broadly seems vulnerable, being close to its five-week low. The major currency pair is under pressure as surging oil prices due to the United States-Israel war with Iran have increased the risks of higher inflation for the Old Continent.

GBP/USD hovers around 1.3400 with bearish pressure intact

GBP/USD edges higher after three days of losses, trading around 1.3400 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates an ongoing bearish bias, as the pair trades within a descending channel pattern.

Gold stays bullish as Iran war continues to spur safe-haven flows

Gold is finding renewed bids in Asian trades on Tuesday, making another attempt to regain the $5,400 level amid persistent demand for safe-haven assets as the Iran war extends. A softer risk tone remains in play as US President Donald Trump continues to threaten deeper escalation to the ongoing war with Iran, warning that a “big wave” is yet to come.

Top Crypto Gainers: Near Protocol, Virtuals Protocol, and Morpho lead market recovery

Near Protocol, Virtuals Protocol, and Morpho are leading the market recovery with double-digit gains over the last 24 hours. Technically, NEAR extends the breakout of the falling channel pattern, VIRTUAL holds above the 50-day EMA, while MORPHO tests a crucial resistance. 

The market is not panicking it is repricing the probability distribution of Oil and time

At the end of the day, markets do not trade morality or geopolitics. They trade transmission channels. And the only channel that truly matters in this maelstrom runs through the price of energy and the time value of money.

Grass 20% bullish breakout defies broader market weakness

Grass (GRASS) is edging up above $0.30 at the time of writing on Monday. The token’s notable 20% intraday surge stands out amid heightened volatility in the broader crypto market.