|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD will move to new highs – TDS

Gold (XAU/USD) consolidates its gains after reaching a fresh 2024-high above $2,080. Strategists at TD Securities analyze the yellow metal’s outlook.

More data weakness needed for takeoff

It is hoped that the combination of lower yields, which are likely to attract discretionary investors into futures and ETFs, along with strong physical markets in China and robust central bank buying, will move Gold to new highs.

We believe that the yellow metal is set to move into $2,300+ territory, once there is more certainty surrounding the timing and magnitude of the pending Fed pivot.

But there will still need to be more evidence that the economy is slowing sufficiently to facilitate a steady drop in inflation before this rally becomes sustainable and moves to our target.

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD renews two-month lows near 0.6950 after Australian CPI data

AUD/USD is renewing two-month lows near 0.6950 in the Asian session on Wednesday, as below-expectations August Australian underlying CPI data pours cold water on expectations for further RBA interest rate hikes. Chinese PMI data also fail to inspire the Australian Dollar, despite a pause in the US Dollar advance.

USD/JPY drops below 157.00 as intervention risks counter Japan's weak data

USD/JPY keeps losses below 157.00 in the Asian session on Wednesday, as hawkish BoJ expectations, along with intervention risks, underpin the Japanese Yen, countering dismal domestic factory output and retail sales data. Meanwhile, a broad US Dollar retreat also collaborates to the pair's downside.

Gold consolidates below $4,200, looks to US ADP and PCE

Gold struggles to capitalize on the previous day's recovery from an eight-week low, consolidating below $4,200 in the Asian session on Wednesday. The overnight slide in oil prices eased the US Treasury bond rout, supporting the bullion. However, Fed rate-hike bets and inflationary concerns keep bond yields near multi-year highs. Moreover, geopolitical uncertainties underpin the safe-haven US Dollar, which, in turn, limits bullion.

Ethereum sees profit-taking near $2,700 ahead of key US economic data
Ethereum (ETH) has shown signs of profit-taking near $2,700 over the past few days, with rising exchange deposits and a slowdown in exchange-traded fund (ETF) inflows ahead of US inflation and labor market data releases. The top altcoin's Exchange Reserves, which track the total amount of a crypto asset held across exchange wallets, have increased by roughly 125K ETH since Friday.
Silver is more volatile than Gold ahead of PCE and NFP. This chart shows the positioning gap
The market’s attention is focused on American data this week, but there’s something only those with a trained eye may be looking at: Gold and Silver positioning gap. Financial markets are moving on fears, mostly related to persistently high energy prices driven by the Middle East war. Sure, the US Dollar (USD) is strong, but at what cost?
Silver is more volatile than Gold ahead of PCE and NFP. This chart shows the positioning gap
The market’s attention is focused on American data this week, but there’s something only those with a trained eye may be looking at: Gold and Silver positioning gap. Financial markets are moving on fears, mostly related to persistently high energy prices driven by the Middle East war. Sure, the US Dollar (USD) is strong, but at what cost?