Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD holding its ground despite increased real interest rates is a sign of strength – Commerzbank

FXStreet Insights Team FXStreet

Gold price rapidly recouped its initial losses yesterday and climbed to over $1,930. XAU/USD is trading a few dollars lower this morning. Still, economists at Commerzbank see the yellow metal resilient amid increased real interest rates.

Gold price holding its ground

“The EU and the US are preparing further sanctions against Russia, which is apparantly making market participants more cautious.”

“The firm US dollar and higher real interest rates appear to be precluding any further rise in the gold price at present.”

“The market seems to believe that the Fed will succeed in regaining control of the current very high inflation by raising interest rates. This makes the yellow metal less attractive as an alternative investment. The fact that gold is holding its ground despite the increased real interest rates is a sign of strength.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

FXStreet

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

AUD/USD defies Iran war jitters as RBA hike bets double

The Australian Dollar rallies for the fourth straight day against the US Dollar as market mood remains positive amid high tensions in the Middle East, pointing to a resumption of hostilities, as reported by recent news. Despite this, the AUD/USD trades at 0.7027, up 0.44%.

USD/JPY remains confined in a familiar range below 158.50

USD/JPY sees some dip-buying in the Asian session on Wednesday, though it remains confined within a multi-week range near 158.50 as the uncertainty over the timing of the next BoJ rate hike keeps Japanese Yen bulls on the defensive. Meanwhile, hawkish Fed expectations, bolstered by inflation risks stemming from volatile oil prices, underpin the US Dollar. However, looming intervention fears could limit JPY losses and cap the currency pair.

Gold advances modestly; targets $4,150

Gold prices manage to reverse three consecutive daily declines, trading just below the $4,150 mark per troy ounce on Wednesday. The precious metal’s recovery comes amid a slight drop in the US Dollar, mixed US Treasury yields across the board and a widespread cautious tone from the US-Iran front.

XRP and XLM regain momentum as derivatives activity picks up

Ripple and Stellar are regaining momentum on Wednesday, mirroring gains across major digital assets. XRP has climbed above $1.36, while XLM has reached $0.1854, reinforcing support levels recently tested. This gradual price increase comes amid sticky inflation in the United States and ahead of the Federal Reserve’s monetary decision next week.

What the midterm elections mean for Treasury yields, the Dollar and Gold

Democrats are priced to take the House, so November 3 comes down to the Senate and how much Washington can borrow without the other party. Treasury yields will show the answer first, then the Dollar and Gold. On November 3, Americans vote for all 435 House seats and 35 Senate seats. For bond prices, the result comes down to one thing: how much the government will borrow over the next two years.

The US Dollar fell. Gold didn't rally. That tells you everything

Gold (XAU/USD) is struggling to capitalize on a weaker US Dollar (USD), after repeatedly failing to establish itself above the $4,200 level. The precious metal remains confined to a relatively narrow trading range despite a combination of developments that would normally support higher prices.