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GBP/USD Price Forecast: Tests nine-day EMA support after slipping below 1.3500

  • GBP/USD may rebound toward the two-month high of 1.3599.
  • The 14-day Relative Strength Index near 56 indicates positive momentum without overbought conditions.
  • The immediate support lies at the nine-day EMA of 1.3493.

GBP/USD remains subdued for the third successive day, trading around 1.3500 during the Asian hours on Thursday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates a potential for bearish reversal as the pair moves below the ascending channel pattern.

However, the GBP/USD pair holds a constructive bullish bias as it stays marginally above the nine-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and comfortably over the 50-period EMA. This alignment of short- and medium-term EMAs below spot hints at underlying demand. The 14-day Relative Strength Index around 56 suggests positive but not overstretched momentum, allowing room for further upside while the pair remains supported on dips.

The return to the ascending channel would lead the GBP/USD pair to test the initial barrier at the two-month high of 1.3599, recorded on April 17. Further advances would support the pair to test the upper boundary of the ascending channel around 1.3810. A break above the channel would reinforce the bullish bias and support the GBP/USD pair to approach the 1.3869, the highest level since September 2021, reached on January 27.

On the downside, the GBP/USD pair is testing the immediate support at the nine-day EMA of 1.3493, followed by the 50-day EMA at 1.3427. A sustained break below these short- and medium-term averages would expose a nearly five-month low of 1.3159, recorded on March 31, followed by the 1.3010, the lowest since April 2025, which was recorded in November 2025.

GBP/USD: Daily Chart

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)

Pound Sterling Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of British Pound (GBP) against listed major currencies today. British Pound was the weakest against the US Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.07%0.11%0.05%0.02%0.23%0.24%0.12%
EUR-0.07%0.05%-0.02%-0.05%0.14%0.16%0.03%
GBP-0.11%-0.05%-0.06%-0.10%0.11%0.12%-0.02%
JPY-0.05%0.02%0.06%-0.04%0.19%0.17%0.06%
CAD-0.02%0.05%0.10%0.04%0.23%0.22%0.08%
AUD-0.23%-0.14%-0.11%-0.19%-0.23%0.02%-0.15%
NZD-0.24%-0.16%-0.12%-0.17%-0.22%-0.02%-0.15%
CHF-0.12%-0.03%0.02%-0.06%-0.08%0.15%0.15%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the British Pound from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent GBP (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

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