|

GBP/JPY Price Analysis: Subdued around 161.70, range-bound for the last four days

  • GBP/JPY snaps two days of consecutive gains, down by 0.01%.
  • The GBP/JPY daily chart illustrates the pair as range-bound.
  • The GBP/JPY is seesawing in the 161.00-162.30 area, unable to break beyond the range.

The GBP/JPY is seesawing within a narrow range for the third consecutive day, though on Wednesday, it failed to continue the last five days of successive series of lower highs/lows; however, indecision keeps lurking at the cross-currency pair. As of writing, the GBP/JPY is trading at 161.63, below its opening price.

On Wednesday, the cross-currency pair opened near the day’s high before sliding sharply to the lows of the day of 160.08, at a time when market sentiment turned sour. However, the GBP/JPY stayed a comeback and rallied towards the 100-hour EMA at 161.79, stalling the pair’s recovery.

GBP/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

From a daily chart perspective, the GBP/JPY has remained subdued for the last four days. During the previous three days, indecision surrounds the cross, further confirmed by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) almost flat, despite residing below the 50-midline.

In the short term, the GBP/JPY hourly chart portrays the pair as neutral biased. The exponential moving averages (EMAs) in the hourly chart are within a narrow range, below the exchange rate, except for the 100-EMA at 161.79. Therefore, the GBP/JPY trend is skewed to the upside, so a break above the latter, would open the door for further gains.

Therefore, the GBP/JPY first resistance would be the 162.00 figure. Once cleared, the next resistance would be the R1 pivot at 162.44, followed by the 163.00 mark.

On the other hand, if the GBP/JPY tumbles below the 161.00 mark, it would pave the way for further downside. The first support would be the 160.50 mark, followed by the S2 daily pivot at 160.11, followed by 160.00.

GBP/JPY Key Technical Level

GBP/JPY

Overview
Today last price161.63
Today Daily Change-0.19
Today Daily Change %-0.12
Today daily open161.94
 
Trends
Daily SMA20162.45
Daily SMA50163.72
Daily SMA100163.12
Daily SMA200158.99
 
Levels
Previous Daily High162.32
Previous Daily Low160.8
Previous Weekly High163.57
Previous Weekly Low160.09
Previous Monthly High166.34
Previous Monthly Low160.4
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%161.74
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%161.38
Daily Pivot Point S1161.06
Daily Pivot Point S2160.18
Daily Pivot Point S3159.55
Daily Pivot Point R1162.57
Daily Pivot Point R2163.2
Daily Pivot Point R3164.08

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD stays weak above 0.6900 after China’s trade data

AUD/USD struggles to capitalize on the previous day’s recovery and stays defensive on the 0.6900 level following the narrowing of trade surplus in China. Increased December Fed rate hike bets allows the US Dollar to pause its decline and weigh on the pair. US CPI data is next of note for the major.

USD/JPY retakes 158.00 on weak Japanese data; focus shifts to US CPI

USD/JPY attracts some dip-buyers and retakes 158.00 in the Asian session on Tuesday as a fall in Japan’s Household Spending offsets hawkish BoJ Summary of Opinions, undermining the Japanese Yen. Moreover, Fed hike bets support the safe-haven US Dollar and the currency pair. The market focus now shifts to the release of the crucial US CPI report.

Gold sticks to modest losses amid Fed hike bets; holds above $4,100 ahead of US CPI

Gold meets fresh supply, eroding a part of the previous day's strong gains to the $4,150 resistance zone, albeit it holds above the $4,100 mark heading into the European session. Firming US Federal Reserve rate-hike expectations turn out to be a key factor driving flows away from the non-yielding bullion. Meanwhile, the US Dollar struggles to lure buyers amid mixed signals regarding the state of diplomatic talks between the US and Iran, offering some support to the commodity as traders seem hesitant ahead of US consumer inflation figures.

Bitcoin hits lowest weekly close since August as short-term holders slip into losses

Bitcoin fell below $75,000 on Tuesday, after recording its lowest weekly close since August as selling pressure pushed recent buyers into losses.

This weeks’ two big inflation reports will offer perspective

Payrolls on Friday surprised with a big gain, 165,000 new jobs rather than the 65,000 forecast. Also the unemployment rate fell from 4.2% to 4.1% although average hourly earnings are up only 0.4% ($32.75). This weeks’ two big inflation reports will offer perspective. Tomorrow it’s CPI and on Friday, which is a Friday the 13th, it’s PPI.

Gold reclaimed $4,100. Tuesday’s CPI test decides if it holds
Gold (XAU/USD) starts the week on a positive note, reclaiming the $4,100 psychological level as the US Dollar (USD) retreats from its recent highs. The precious metal recovers from Friday's losses, although investors remain cautious ahead of Tuesday's US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, which could determine the next direction for Bullion.