|

GBP/JPY Price Analysis: Climbs above 170.00 after hitting a six-year high

  • GBP/JPY climbs after retracing from reaching six-year highs at around 170.60.
  • If GBP buyers clear the YTD high, the next resistance would be February’s 2016 highs at 175.00.
  • Short term, the GBP/JPY is upward biased, though a daily close below 170.00 could pave the way for further losses.

The GBP/JPY surged and passed above 170.00, hitting a fresh year-to-date high at 170.60, but retraced some of its gains and edged towards the 169.90 area, remaining above its opening price. At the time of writing, the GBP/JPY is trading at 170.14.

GBP/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The daily chart shows that the GBP/JPY is upward biased, though failure to hold to gains above 170.00 could expose the cross to selling pressure. Worth noticing that as GBP/JPY price action registered a series of higher highs, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) did not, so divergence between price action and the RSI means buyers are losing momentum.

If the GBP/JPY holds above 170.00, the following key resistance would be 175.01, February’s 2016 high. On the flip side, the first demand zone would be October 25, high at 169.94, followed by the 169.00 figure, and the October 25 low at 167.78.

Short term, the GBP/JPY one-hour chart illustrates the pair advancing steadily, above the 20-Exponential Moving Average, consolidating some pips below the R1 daily pivot at around 170.10. Worth noting that once the cross-currency pierced the 170.00 figure and reached a six-year high, it retraced and consolidated around the 20-EMA at 169.95. Further reinforcing the upward bias, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is in bullish territory, aiming higher.

The GBP/JPY first resistance would be the YTD high at 170.60. Once cleared, the following supply zone would be 171.00. Conversely, the GBP/JPY first support would be 170.00. Once cleared, the next support would be 169.50, followed by the October 26 low of 169.60.

GBP/JPY Key Technical Levels

GBP/JPY

Overview
Today last price170.11
Today Daily Change0.41
Today Daily Change %0.24
Today daily open169.7
 
Trends
Daily SMA20164.6
Daily SMA50163.22
Daily SMA100163.64
Daily SMA200161.25
 
Levels
Previous Daily High169.96
Previous Daily Low167.84
Previous Weekly High170.1
Previous Weekly Low164.95
Previous Monthly High167.22
Previous Monthly Low148.8
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%169.15
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%168.65
Daily Pivot Point S1168.38
Daily Pivot Point S2167.05
Daily Pivot Point S3166.26
Daily Pivot Point R1170.49
Daily Pivot Point R2171.28
Daily Pivot Point R3172.61

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD stays weak above 0.6900 after China’s trade data

AUD/USD struggles to capitalize on the previous day’s recovery and stays defensive on the 0.6900 level following the narrowing of trade surplus in China. Increased December Fed rate hike bets allows the US Dollar to pause its decline and weigh on the pair. US CPI data is next of note for the major.

USD/JPY retakes 158.00 on weak Japanese data; focus shifts to US CPI

USD/JPY attracts some dip-buyers and retakes 158.00 in the Asian session on Tuesday as a fall in Japan’s Household Spending offsets hawkish BoJ Summary of Opinions, undermining the Japanese Yen. Moreover, Fed hike bets support the safe-haven US Dollar and the currency pair. The market focus now shifts to the release of the crucial US CPI report.

Gold drifts lower as traders look to US CPI report for Fed rate cues amid Iran uncertainty

Gold meets with fresh supply, reversing a part of the previous day's strong move up to the $4,150 resistance zone amid a modest US Dollar uptick. Against the backdrop of firming US Federal Reserve rate hike expectations, mixed signals regarding the state of diplomatic talks between the US and Iran offer some support to the safe-haven Greenback. However, USD bulls seem hesitant and opt to wait on the sidelines ahead of US consumer inflation figures.

Bitcoin hits lowest weekly close since August as short-term holders slip into losses

Bitcoin fell below $75,000 on Tuesday, after recording its lowest weekly close since August as selling pressure pushed recent buyers into losses.

This weeks’ two big inflation reports will offer perspective

Payrolls on Friday surprised with a big gain, 165,000 new jobs rather than the 65,000 forecast. Also the unemployment rate fell from 4.2% to 4.1% although average hourly earnings are up only 0.4% ($32.75). This weeks’ two big inflation reports will offer perspective. Tomorrow it’s CPI and on Friday, which is a Friday the 13th, it’s PPI.

Gold reclaimed $4,100. Tuesday’s CPI test decides if it holds
Gold (XAU/USD) starts the week on a positive note, reclaiming the $4,100 psychological level as the US Dollar (USD) retreats from its recent highs. The precious metal recovers from Friday's losses, although investors remain cautious ahead of Tuesday's US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, which could determine the next direction for Bullion.