|

GBP/JPY holds steady above 210.50 after UK macro data; remains close to multi-week low

  • GBP/JPY struggles to capitalize on intraday gains, though the downside remains cushioned.
  • The UK macro data does little to influence the GBP or provide any impetus to spot prices.
  • Delayed BoJ rate hike bets counter intervention fears and cap the JPY, supporting the cross.

The GBP/JPY cross attracts fresh sellers following an intraday uptick to the 211.22 area and retreats to the lower end of its daily range during the early part of the European session on Tuesday. Spot prices move little following the release of the UK macro data and currently trade just above mid-210.00s, close to over a three-week trough set on Monday.

The UK Office for National Statistics confirmed that Britain's economy grew by 0.1% in the October-December period, unrevised from the provisional estimate published last month. Additional details showed that business investment fell by 2.5% in the final quarter of 2025, compared to -2.7% reported originally. The backward-looking data, however, fails to provide any meaningful impetus to the British Pound (GBP) amid economic concerns stemming from the Iran war.

The UK economy is highly vulnerable to energy price shocks. Moreover, the Bank of England's (BoE) hawkish signal about a potential interest rate hike as early as April amid inflation fears raises downside risks to the economy, which, in turn, acts as a headwind for the GBP. The Japanese Yen (JPY), on the other hand, draws some support from speculations that authorities would step in to stem further weakness in the domestic currency. This contributes to capping the GBP/JPY cross.

Meanwhile, a government report showed earlier today that the headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) in Tokyo – Japan's capital city – slowed from the 1.5% and rose 1.4% in March, marking the lowest reading since March 2022. Adding to this, core gauges (excluding volatile fresh food and energy costs) also fell short of expectations and tempered bets for an immediate policy tightening by the Bank of Japan (BoJ). This acts as a headwind for the JPY and offers some support to the GBP/JPY cross.

Economic Indicator

Gross Domestic Product (QoQ)

The Gross Domestic Product (GDP), released by the Office for National Statistics on a monthly and quarterly basis, is a measure of the total value of all goods and services produced in the UK during a given period. The GDP is considered as the main measure of UK economic activity. The QoQ reading compares economic activity in the reference quarter to the previous quarter. Generally, a rise in this indicator is bullish for the Pound Sterling (GBP), while a low reading is seen as bearish.

Read more.

Last release: Tue Mar 31, 2026 06:00

Frequency: Quarterly

Actual: 0.1%

Consensus: 0.1%

Previous: 0.1%

Source: Office for National Statistics

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD seems vulnerable near 0.6800, 10-month low amid bullish USD

AUD/USD languishes near a 10-month low during the Asian session on Friday, awaiting a break below 0.6800 before the next leg up amid a bullish US Dollar. Firming Fed rate-hike expectations, along with fading hopes for US-Iran diplomacy, help the USD hold gains at its highest level since April 2025. Moreover, the RBA’s dovish tilt undermines the Aussie and backs the case for further losses.

USD/JPY bulls turn cautious near 160.00 amid intervention risks

USD/JPY enters a bullish consolidation phase around its highest level since early September as bulls turn cautious amid intervention risk near 160.00. Meanwhile, the downside seems cushioned as the wide US-Japan interest rate gap keeps the Yen carry trade active. Furthermore, the possibility of a jumbo Fed rate hike and Middle East uncertainties hold the US Dollar near a 19-month top, supporting the currency pair.



Gold sticks to gains above $3,900; bulls lack conviction as Fed and Iran risks support USD

Gold clings to modest recovery gains above the $3,900 mark during the Asian session, snapping its three-day losing streak to the lowest level since late September set the previous day. The US Dollar takes a breather after a strong three-day rally to its highest level since April 2025, offering some support to the commodity. However, firming US Federal Reserve rate-hike expectations and Middle East uncertainties continue to support the Greenback. This keeps a lid on any further upside for the precious metal.

Bitcoin slips below $70,000 for the first time since August

Bitcoin is attracting some serious sellers, pushing it below $70,000 on Friday after an over 3% decline the previous day. The Crypto King is down over 5% so far this week, and a bearish close could mark its sixth consecutive week of losses. The technical outlook for Bitcoin is bearish, with sellers tightening their grip despite overextending the downtrend to oversold levels.

Asian stocks post mixed results amid Nvidia leadership turmoil, Anthropic IPO buzz
Asian stocks post mixed results on Friday, with Japan’s Nikkei 225 Index climbing 0.91% to around 61,370 and China’s Shanghai Composite rising 0.22% to 3,660. Conversely, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index fell 0.82% to 23,810, while South Korea’s KOSPI declined 0.49% to near 5,320.
What the US CPI headline doesn’t tell you about inflation

Brent crude has fallen about a third since mid-October on hopes the Iran war is ending, but diesel, freight and fertiliser costs haven't followed. Those costs reach US consumer prices in stages through 2027 and could keep inflation high after gasoline gets cheaper.