|

GBP holds firm as inflation expectations rise – BBH

The Pound Sterling (GBP) is steady against most peers after the Bank of England’s August DMP survey showed inflation expectations climbing to five-month highs, reinforcing a cautious approach to policy easing. However, persistent price pressures alongside weak UK growth prospects could weigh on GBP, particularly versus the euro, BBH FX analysts report.

BOE survey signals cautious easing path

"GBP is firm versus most currencies. The Bank of England’s August DMP inflation expectation survey ran hot and will keep the bank on a cautious easing path. 1-year inflation expectations rose to a five-month high of 3.4% vs. 3.2% in July. 3-year inflation expectations also increased to a five-month high of 3.0% vs. 2.8% in July."

"Overall, elevated UK inflation expectations and a sluggish growth outlook spell trouble for GBP, especially versus EUR."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD retreats from weekly high vs firmer USD as focus shifts to BoE, US data

The GBP/USD pair struggles to capitalize on the previous day's strong move up to the weekly high and drifts lower during the Asian session on Thursday. Spot prices currently trade around mid-1.3300s, down over 0.10% for the day, and, for now, seem to have stalled the recovery move from a nearly four-week low, touched on Tuesday.

EUR/USD edges lower to near 1.1450 as Fed holds rates steady, traders await Eurozone and German GDP

The EUR/USD pair trades with mild losses around 1.1465 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The US Dollar edges higher against the Euro on a hawkish Federal Reserve rate hold. Traders brace for the preliminary readings of the Gross Domestic Product for the second quarter from Germany and the Eurozone. 


Gold faces rejection at $4,100 amid emergence of USD dip-buying

Gold retreats after facing rejection at $4,100 in the Asian session on Thursday as the US Dollar attracts some dip-buyers following the previous day's post-FOMC slide to a one-week low. Escalating US-Iran tensions support oil prices, fueling inflation fears and reviving the Greenback's haven demand at the expense of the bullion.

WTI falls below $83.00 despite hostilities in the Middle East

West Texas Intermediate, the US crude oil benchmark, is trading around $82.80 during the early Asian trading hours on Thursday. WTI falls amid some profit-taking despite escalating conflicts in the Middle East. Traders book some profits following the US Federal Reserve interest rate decision.

Fed review: Reversing course (?)
At face value, the FOMC's 9-3 split decision hold was exactly in line with the expectations we laid out in our Fed preview - a divided hold, 22 July. We also named the three dissenters - Hammack, Logan and Kashkari - as the most likely hawks to support rapid tightening.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.