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Fed's Bullard: Current level of the policy rate is appropriate

Key highlights from Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President James Bullard speech titled “The Path Forward for U.S. Monetary Policy in a Global Context” on Thursday during the Official Monetary and Financial Institutions Forum’s City Lecture:

  • Given that the U.S. economy remains in a low-growth, low-inflation, low-interest-rate regime, the current level of the policy rate (i.e., the federal funds rate target) is appropriate
  • The most likely outcome over the forecast horizon is that the regime persists and, hence, the current level of the policy rate remains appropriate
  • Many future developments could impact this policy path, but the Fed does not need to act pre-emptively with respect to any of them
  • Real GDP growth suggest some improvement from the first quarter, but not enough to move the U.S. economy away from a regime characterized by 2 percent trend growth
  • Recent inflation data have surprised to the downside and call into question the idea that U.S. inflation is reliably returning toward target

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

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