|

EUR/USD to remain under pressure as the Dollar is set to stay strong for some time – Rabobank

The Euro (EUR) is the third best performer in the year to date after the US Dollar (USD) and the Pound Sterling (GBP). Economists at Rabobank analyze EUR/USD outlook.

Strong case for remaining bullish on the USD

While we acknowledge that the EUR has been more resilient than we expected so far this year, we still see fundamentals as favouring the USD.

We maintain our three-month forecast of 1.0500 and remain of the view that there is a higher chance of EUR/USD remaining in a 1.0400 to 1.1200 range over the next 18-24 months or so, than of the currency pair holding levels above 1.1500.

Our three-month forecast of 1.0500 is followed by an expectation of a moderate move higher to 1.0900 early next year as Fed rate cuts are extended. 

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD slides below 1.3250 after failing to break through 23.6% Fibo

The GBP/USD pair meets with a fresh supply during the Asian session on Wednesday and moves away from a nearly two-week high around the 1.3275 region, touched the previous day. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.3235 zone, down 0.20% for the day, as traders look to speeches from Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey and Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh for a fresh impetus.

EUR/USD stays offered, breaks below 1.1400…again

EUR/USD adds to Tuesday’s slight losses and drops below the 1.1400 yardstick in the latter part of Wednesday’s NA session. The pair’s decline comes in response to the persistent recovery in the US Dollar, which seems to have met extra support following the cautious tone from Fed’s Warsh in his comments at the ECB Forum.

Gold recovers but sellers hold the grip

Gold keeps the bullish performance in place on Wednesday, although is now giving away part of its earlier advance past the $4,100 mark per troy ounce. The precious metal’s marked rebound comes despite the US Dollar’s bid bias, higher US Treasury yields across the curve and positive headlines from the Middle East.


A preview of NFP

The number is of much greater importance than usual as the Fed moves away from a forecasting framework and towards a current-data / rebuilding-credibility framework.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP stay under pressure as investors turn more risk-averse

The cryptocurrency market trades under intense headwinds on Wednesday, led by Bitcoin’s (BTC) deepening sell-off below $60,000. The Crypto King hovers above $58,000.

Just like Fed, is BoJ’s independence under threat?

When talking about central bank independence, most of the focus has been on Donald Trump’s pressure on the Federal Reserve. But a similar story, a quieter one for now, seems to be happening on the other side of the Pacific: Japan’s government may be testing the Bank of Japan’s independence.