|

EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Trades near 184.00 after rebounding from symmetrical triangle

  • EUR/JPY remains stuck in a corrective phase dominated by short-term downward pressure.
  • The 14-day Relative Strength Index at 36.96 suggests downside momentum is slowing but not yet fully exhausted.
  • The currency cross trades above the 183.69 VWAP, indicating mild bullish sentiment for the current session.

EUR/JPY pares its daily losses, remaining in the negative territory and trading around 183.80 during the Asian hours on Thursday. The currency cross holds in a corrective phase below the short- and medium-term trend filters, with the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 184.47 and the 50-day EMA at 184.95 acting as immediate overhead caps and reinforcing a bearish near-term bias.

The EUR/JPY cross has slipped back under the moving averages after failing to sustain gains near recent highs, while the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 36.96 approaches oversold territory, hinting that downside momentum is softening but not yet exhausted.

The EUR/JPY cross is remaining within the symmetrical triangle, suggesting market indecision and an impending breakout as energy builds.

The spot price is trading slightly above the Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP) at 183.69, suggesting a mild bullish sentiment for the current trading session. Buyers are willing to pay more than the average price paid by all other traders throughout the day.

In context with the symmetrical triangle, trading just above the day's average volume weight indicates that bulls are trying to push the price toward the upper boundary of that triangle for a potential breakout.

The initial support is aligned at the lower boundary of the symmetrical triangle around 183.40. Further declines would expose the four-month low of 181.87, recorded on March 16, followed by six-month low of 180.81.

On the upside, a recovery above the nine-day EMA at 184.47 would be the first sign of easing pressure, though bulls would likely need a daily close over the 50-day EMA at 184.95 to challenge the major resistance band near all-time high of 187.95.

Chart Analysis EUR/JPY

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)

Euro Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies today. Euro was the weakest against the Swiss Franc.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.05%-0.09%-0.06%-0.03%0.10%0.17%-0.15%
EUR0.05%-0.02%0.04%0.06%0.18%0.25%-0.08%
GBP0.09%0.02%0.02%0.07%0.19%0.27%-0.08%
JPY0.06%-0.04%-0.02%0.03%0.16%0.21%-0.11%
CAD0.03%-0.06%-0.07%-0.03%0.12%0.20%-0.15%
AUD-0.10%-0.18%-0.19%-0.16%-0.12%0.06%-0.24%
NZD-0.17%-0.25%-0.27%-0.21%-0.20%-0.06%-0.35%
CHF0.15%0.08%0.08%0.11%0.15%0.24%0.35%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD seems vulnerable near 0.6800, 10-month low amid bullish USD

AUD/USD languishes near a 10-month low during the Asian session on Friday, awaiting a break below 0.6800 before the next leg up amid a bullish US Dollar. Firming Fed rate-hike expectations, along with fading hopes for US-Iran diplomacy, help the USD hold gains at its highest level since April 2025. Moreover, the RBA’s dovish tilt undermines the Aussie and backs the case for further losses.

USD/JPY bulls turn cautious near 160.00 amid intervention risks

USD/JPY enters a bullish consolidation phase around its highest level since early September as bulls turn cautious amid intervention risk near 160.00. Meanwhile, the downside seems cushioned as the wide US-Japan interest rate gap keeps the Yen carry trade active. Furthermore, the possibility of a jumbo Fed rate hike and Middle East uncertainties hold the US Dollar near a 19-month top, supporting the currency pair.



Gold remains on the back foot below $3,900

Gold now alternates gains with losses below the $3,900 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The precious metal struggles to regain traction amid the firmer US Dollar, mixed US Treasury yields and expectations of further tightening by the Fed at its December meeting.

Bitcoin just posted five straight losing weeks, and the storm may not be over yet

Bitcoin is struggling to find support, slipping below $70,000 as multiple headwinds threaten to push the Crypto King lower. The much-anticipated “Uptober” rally failed to materialize, with persistent selling pressure and widespread liquidations instead reinforcing the “Rektober” narrative.

Week ahead – Fed Minutes, inflation data and Nvidia earnings to guide investors

Fed minutes may add to hawkish tone as bets of 50-bps hike grow. Nvidia to report earnings as bar to impress high after spy scandal. Trade and geopolitics to be focal point of Trump-Xi summit.

Gold hit its lowest level of 2026 near $3,850
Gold (XAU/USD) attempts to stabilize around $3,890 on Friday after falling to $3,852 on Thursday, its lowest level since October 2025. The precious metal has lost more than 4% this week, as investors increasingly anticipate further monetary tightening from the Federal Reserve (Fed). The latest decline reflects a sharp change in market expectations.